Points
46Points expected by the market
48.13Gap
−2.13Yield
−19.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | +0.43 | −8.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 27 | +3.57 | +6.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 12 | −4.55 | −37.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.58 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | +0.43 | −8.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 17 | +0.65 | −9.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 2 | −2.34 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 10 | +2.92 | +41.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 10 | −2.22 | −16.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.58 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | DC United · Away22 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | −1.49 |
| M2 | New York City · Home1 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −3.06 |
| M3 | San Jose Earthquakes · Home8 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.71 | −4.77 |
| M4 | Atlanta United · Away14 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.31 | −6.09 |
| M5 | Chicago Fire · Home21 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −7.50 |
| M6 | Charlotte · Away5 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −8.70 |
| M7 | CF Montreal · Away11 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | −6.99 |
| M8 | DC United · Home19 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.85 | −7.84 |
| M9 | Toronto FC · Away23 Apr 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.45 | −8.29 |
| M10 | Columbus Crew · Away26 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −9.28 |
| M11 | Nashville SC · Home3 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | −9.86 |
| M12 | New England Revolution · Away10 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −11.20 |
| M13 | Orlando City · Away14 May 2026 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.30 | −12.50 |
| M14 | Columbus Crew · Home17 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −12.97 |
| M15 | Inter Miami · Away25 May 2026 | L 4-6 | 0 | −0.59 | −13.56 |
| M16 | New York Red Bulls · Home23 Jul 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.14 | −12.42 |
| M17 | Seattle Sounders · Home26 Jul 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.15 | −11.27 |
| M18 | Atlanta United · Home2 Aug 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.00 | −10.27 |
| M19 | New York City · Away16 Aug 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.55 | −8.73 |
| M20 | Inter Miami · Home20 Aug 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | −9.18 |
| M21 | Austin FC · Away23 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.88 | −10.06 |
| M22 | New York Red Bulls · Away30 Aug 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.39 | −8.67 |
| M23 | CF Montreal · Home6 Sep 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.85 | −7.82 |
| M24 | FC Cincinnati · Home10 Sep 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.06 | −6.76 |
| M25 | San Diego FC · Away14 Sep 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −5.30 |
| M26 | Sporting Kansas City · Away20 Sep 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +0.95 | −4.35 |
| M27 | Orlando City · Home27 Sep 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.01 | −3.34 |
| M28 | Real Salt Lake · Home11 Oct 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.74 | −2.60 |
| M29 | Chicago Fire · Away15 Oct 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.62 | −0.98 |
| M30 | Charlotte · Home17 Oct 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.15 | −2.13 |
| Total | 46 | −2.13 | |||