Points
36Points expected by the market
41.36Gap
−5.36Yield
−33.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.50 | +34.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 20 | +0.74 | −0.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 9 | −0.80 | −20.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 1 | −6.80 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.50 | +34.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 17 | −0.74 | −12.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.59 | +60.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.00 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.47 | +116.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 5 | −2.39 | −46.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 1 | −5.80 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Away22 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.53 | −0.53 |
| M2 | Seattle Sounders · Home1 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +1.32 |
| M3 | Atlanta United · Away8 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.85 | +3.17 |
| M4 | Austin FC · Home15 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.11 | +4.29 |
| M5 | San Diego FC · Away22 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.05 | +4.34 |
| M6 | Sporting Kansas City · Home4 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.63 | +4.96 |
| M7 | San Diego FC · Home19 Apr 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.97 | +5.93 |
| M8 | Inter Miami · Home23 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.55 | +4.38 |
| M9 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Away27 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | +3.05 |
| M10 | Portland Timbers · Home2 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.87 | +3.92 |
| M11 | FC Dallas · Away10 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.22 | +2.69 |
| M12 | Houston Dynamo · Home14 May 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +3.80 |
| M13 | Colorado Rapids · Home17 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.13 | +4.93 |
| M14 | Minnesota United · Away23 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | +4.80 |
| M15 | Los Angeles FC · Away23 Jul 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.89 | +3.91 |
| M16 | Portland Timbers · Away26 Jul 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | +2.43 |
| M17 | St. Louis City · Away2 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | +2.36 |
| M18 | Minnesota United · Home16 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | +1.60 |
| M19 | FC Dallas · Home20 Aug 2026 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.68 | −0.08 |
| M20 | Orlando City · Away23 Aug 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −1.05 |
| M21 | Colorado Rapids · Away30 Aug 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −2.09 |
| M22 | Los Angeles FC · Home6 Sep 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | −2.36 |
| M23 | Houston Dynamo · Away10 Sep 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −3.29 |
| M24 | New York City · Home13 Sep 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.60 | −4.89 |
| M25 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Home20 Sep 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.00 | −5.88 |
| M26 | Seattle Sounders · Away24 Sep 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −6.82 |
| M27 | New England Revolution · Home27 Sep 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −5.41 |
| M28 | Philadelphia Union · Away11 Oct 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.56 | −5.97 |
| M29 | San Jose Earthquakes · Home15 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.86 | −6.83 |
| M30 | Sporting Kansas City · Away18 Oct 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.47 | −5.36 |
| Total | 36 | −5.36 | |||