Points
48Points expected by the market
39.62Gap
+8.38Yield
+23.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.88 | +45.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 14 | −3.22 | −26.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +3.51 | +12.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 16 | +7.21 | +82.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.88 | +45.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 10 | −3.61 | −29.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 8 | +1.33 | −8.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.40 | −14.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 7 | +2.18 | +38.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 15 | +7.21 | +102.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sporting Kansas City · Home22 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +1.14 |
| M2 | Atlanta United · Home1 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +2.43 |
| M3 | Philadelphia Union · Away8 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.97 | +4.40 |
| M4 | Seattle Sounders · Home15 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.61 | +2.79 |
| M5 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Away22 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.23 | +5.02 |
| M6 | San Diego FC · Home5 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +6.51 |
| M7 | Sporting Kansas City · Away12 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.16 | +7.67 |
| M8 | Los Angeles FC · Away20 Apr 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +2.20 | +9.87 |
| M9 | Austin FC · Home23 Apr 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.88 | +10.75 |
| M10 | St. Louis City · Away26 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.85 | +12.60 |
| M11 | Toronto FC · Away2 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | +11.84 |
| M12 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Home10 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | +11.71 |
| M13 | Seattle Sounders · Away14 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.68 | +11.03 |
| M14 | FC Dallas · Home17 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.64 | +9.38 |
| M15 | Portland Timbers · Away24 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.64 | +11.03 |
| M16 | Orlando City · Home23 Jul 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.93 | +9.10 |
| M17 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Home26 Jul 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | +8.48 |
| M18 | FC Cincinnati · Away2 Aug 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.04 | +7.43 |
| M19 | St. Louis City · Home16 Aug 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.58 | +5.85 |
| M20 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Away20 Aug 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.96 | +4.90 |
| M21 | Minnesota United · Home23 Aug 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.45 | +3.45 |
| M22 | Houston Dynamo · Away30 Aug 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.19 | +3.64 |
| M23 | Austin FC · Away6 Sep 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | +3.37 |
| M24 | San Diego FC · Away10 Sep 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.20 | +5.57 |
| M25 | Houston Dynamo · Home13 Sep 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +7.13 |
| M26 | Los Angeles FC · Home20 Sep 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.14 | +6.98 |
| M27 | Portland Timbers · Home27 Sep 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +8.32 |
| M28 | Colorado Rapids · Away11 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | +8.29 |
| M29 | Real Salt Lake · Away15 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.08 | +8.38 |
| M30 | Nashville SC · Home18 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | +8.38 |
| Total | 48 | +8.38 | |||