Points
42Points expected by the market
46.64Gap
−4.64Yield
−25.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 7 | −1.67 | −30.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 21 | −1.21 | −9.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 12 | −0.04 | −11.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.72 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 7 | −1.67 | −30.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 17 | −0.05 | −3.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.25 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.00 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −1.15 | −27.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 11 | +0.22 | −1.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 2 | −0.72 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Colorado Rapids · Home23 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.74 | +0.74 |
| M2 | Real Salt Lake · Away1 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −0.84 |
| M3 | St. Louis City · Away8 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +0.63 |
| M4 | San Jose Earthquakes · Away15 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.86 | +2.49 |
| M5 | Minnesota United · Away22 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.27 | +2.22 |
| M6 | Houston Dynamo · Away5 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +3.92 |
| M7 | St. Louis City · Home19 Apr 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.21 | +5.13 |
| M8 | FC Dallas · Home26 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.93 | +6.06 |
| M9 | Sporting Kansas City · Away2 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.04 | +5.02 |
| M10 | San Diego FC · Home10 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.01 | +4.00 |
| M11 | San Jose Earthquakes · Home14 May 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.88 | +4.88 |
| M12 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Home17 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.88 | +3.00 |
| M13 | Los Angeles FC · Away25 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.06 | +1.94 |
| M14 | Portland Timbers · Home17 Jul 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −2.06 | −0.12 |
| M15 | Austin FC · Away23 Jul 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.37 | −1.49 |
| M16 | Philadelphia Union · Away26 Jul 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | −2.41 |
| M17 | Portland Timbers · Away2 Aug 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −3.53 |
| M18 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Home17 Aug 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −4.53 |
| M19 | Austin FC · Home20 Aug 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.05 | −6.58 |
| M20 | FC Cincinnati · Away23 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.21 | −6.37 |
| M21 | Chicago Fire · Home29 Aug 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.25 | −6.62 |
| M22 | New York Red Bulls · Home6 Sep 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.80 | −7.42 |
| M23 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Away13 Sep 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | −7.67 |
| M24 | Colorado Rapids · Away20 Sep 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.01 | −7.68 |
| M25 | Real Salt Lake · Home24 Sep 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.17 | −6.51 |
| M26 | Minnesota United · Home27 Sep 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.35 | −5.16 |
| M27 | Sporting Kansas City · Home2 Oct 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.02 | −4.14 |
| M28 | New England Revolution · Away11 Oct 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.82 | −2.32 |
| M29 | FC Dallas · Away15 Oct 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | −3.41 |
| M30 | CF Montreal · Home18 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.23 | −4.64 |
| Total | 42 | −4.64 | |||