Points
51Points expected by the market
41.97Gap
+9.03Yield
+11.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.77 | +44.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 23 | +5.79 | +31.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 18 | +1.40 | −7.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | +0.08 | +11.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.77 | +44.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 19 | +5.36 | +42.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 6 | −0.91 | −47.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.43 | −12.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 12 | +2.31 | +16.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | +0.08 | +11.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Charlotte · Home21 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.42 |
| M2 | San Diego FC · Away2 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −1.16 |
| M3 | Seattle Sounders · Home8 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | −2.37 |
| M4 | Los Angeles FC · Away15 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.63 | −3.00 |
| M5 | New England Revolution · Home22 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.27 | −1.72 |
| M6 | New York City · Away5 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | −1.61 |
| M7 | FC Dallas · Away12 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | −1.74 |
| M8 | Seattle Sounders · Away19 Apr 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.96 | −2.69 |
| M9 | San Jose Earthquakes · Home26 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.60 | −4.30 |
| M10 | Austin FC · Away3 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −5.65 |
| M11 | Colorado Rapids · Away10 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.94 | −3.72 |
| M12 | Los Angeles FC · Home14 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | −2.02 |
| M13 | DC United · Away17 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | −2.16 |
| M14 | Austin FC · Home23 May 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.12 | −1.04 |
| M15 | Sporting Kansas City · Home17 Jul 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.86 | −0.17 |
| M16 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Away23 Jul 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.81 | +1.63 |
| M17 | Colorado Rapids · Home26 Jul 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +2.94 |
| M18 | Real Salt Lake · Home2 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | +2.25 |
| M19 | San Jose Earthquakes · Away16 Aug 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.82 | +4.07 |
| M20 | Sporting Kansas City · Away20 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.77 | +3.31 |
| M21 | Houston Dynamo · Home23 Aug 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +4.74 |
| M22 | FC Dallas · Home31 Aug 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.51 | +4.22 |
| M23 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Away6 Sep 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.30 | +6.52 |
| M24 | Portland Timbers · Away10 Sep 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.36 | +6.17 |
| M25 | Minnesota United · Home13 Sep 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.35 | +7.52 |
| M26 | Toronto FC · Home20 Sep 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +8.69 |
| M27 | New York Red Bulls · Away1 Oct 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +9.89 |
| M28 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Home12 Oct 2026 | W 6-2 | 3 | +0.90 | +10.79 |
| M29 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Home15 Oct 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.46 | +10.32 |
| M30 | Minnesota United · Away17 Oct 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.29 | +9.03 |
| Total | 51 | +9.03 | |||