← MLS 2026

Toronto FC

Season 2026 · 30 matches played

Last 5LLWDW

Points

36

Points expected by the market

34.55

Gap

+1.45

Yield

−7.3%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 7 12 11.42 +0.58 −13.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 10 13 12.49 +0.51 −35.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more 13 11 10.64 +0.36 +17.3%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 FC Dallas · Away22 Feb 2026 22 Feb 2026 L 2-3 3.51 1.06 0 −1.06 −1.06 −€1.00
M2 Vancouver Whitecaps · Away1 Mar 2026 1 Mar 2026 L 0-3 7.51 0.56 0 −0.56 −1.62 −€1.00
M3 FC Cincinnati · Away8 Mar 2026 8 Mar 2026 W 1-0 4.39 0.87 3 +2.13 +0.51 +€3.39
M4 New York Red Bulls · Home14 Mar 2026 14 Mar 2026 D 1-1 2.12 1.58 1 −0.58 −0.07 −€1.00
M5 Columbus Crew · Home21 Mar 2026 21 Mar 2026 W 2-1 3.04 1.19 3 +1.81 +1.74 +€2.04
M6 Colorado Rapids · Home4 Apr 2026 4 Apr 2026 W 3-2 1.97 1.67 3 +1.33 +3.07 +€0.97
M7 FC Cincinnati · Home11 Apr 2026 11 Apr 2026 D 1-1 2.36 1.44 1 −0.44 +2.63 −€1.00
M8 Austin FC · Home18 Apr 2026 18 Apr 2026 D 3-3 2.09 1.61 1 −0.61 +2.01 −€1.00
M9 Philadelphia Union · Home23 Apr 2026 23 Apr 2026 D 3-3 2.78 1.28 1 −0.28 +1.74 −€1.00
M10 Atlanta United · Home25 Apr 2026 25 Apr 2026 L 1-2 1.77 1.81 0 −1.81 −0.08 −€1.00
M11 San Jose Earthquakes · Home2 May 2026 2 May 2026 D 1-1 3.64 1.00 1 0.00 −0.08 −€1.00
M12 Inter Miami · Home9 May 2026 9 May 2026 L 2-4 4.52 0.83 0 −0.83 −0.90 −€1.00
M13 Charlotte · Away17 May 2026 17 May 2026 L 1-3 4.33 0.88 0 −0.88 −1.78 −€1.00
M14 Chicago Fire · Away24 May 2026 24 May 2026 L 1-2 6.62 0.62 0 −0.62 −2.40 −€1.00
M15 CF Montreal · Away17 Jul 2026 17 Jul 2026 D 0-0 2.88 1.22 1 −0.22 −2.62 −€1.00
M16 New England Revolution · Away23 Jul 2026 23 Jul 2026 D 0-0 3.47 1.05 1 −0.05 −2.68 −€1.00
M17 DC United · Away26 Jul 2026 26 Jul 2026 L 1-2 3.37 1.08 0 −1.08 −3.76 −€1.00
M18 New York City · Away1 Aug 2026 1 Aug 2026 D 1-1 4.46 0.86 1 +0.14 −3.62 −€1.00
M19 New England Revolution · Home16 Aug 2026 16 Aug 2026 W 2-1 2.16 1.55 3 +1.45 −2.17 +€1.16
M20 Charlotte · Home20 Aug 2026 20 Aug 2026 D 3-3 2.27 1.48 1 −0.48 −2.65 −€1.00
M21 Inter Miami · Away23 Aug 2026 23 Aug 2026 W 2-1 6.80 0.57 3 +2.43 −0.22 +€5.80
M22 New York City · Home30 Aug 2026 30 Aug 2026 D 1-1 2.48 1.39 1 −0.39 −0.61 −€1.00
M23 Chicago Fire · Home6 Sep 2026 6 Sep 2026 D 4-4 2.66 1.30 1 −0.30 −0.91 −€1.00
M24 Nashville SC · Home10 Sep 2026 10 Sep 2026 W 2-1 3.45 1.06 3 +1.94 +1.03 +€2.45
M25 Orlando City · Away13 Sep 2026 13 Sep 2026 L 0-3 3.54 1.01 0 −1.01 +0.02 −€1.00
M26 St. Louis City · Away20 Sep 2026 20 Sep 2026 L 1-3 3.92 0.94 0 −0.94 −0.92 −€1.00
M27 Nashville SC · Away27 Sep 2026 27 Sep 2026 L 0-2 8.00 0.55 0 −0.55 −1.47 −€1.00
M28 CF Montreal · Home10 Oct 2026 10 Oct 2026 W 2-1 1.93 1.68 3 +1.32 −0.15 +€0.93
M29 Orlando City · Home15 Oct 2026 15 Oct 2026 D 3-3 2.19 1.51 1 −0.51 −0.65 −€1.00
M30 New York Red Bulls · Away18 Oct 2026 18 Oct 2026 W 2-0 4.06 0.90 3 +2.10 +1.45 +€3.06
Total 34.55 36 +1.45 −€2.20