Points
55Points expected by the market
59.02Gap
−4.02Yield
−20.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | 31 | +1.15 | +1.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 22 | −4.59 | −28.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 2 | −0.57 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | 25 | −0.54 | −5.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 4 | −3.88 | −61.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.69 | +41.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 18 | −0.71 | −16.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 2 | −0.57 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Real Salt Lake · Home22 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +0.71 |
| M2 | Toronto FC · Home1 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +1.45 |
| M3 | Portland Timbers · Away8 Mar 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.11 | +2.56 |
| M4 | Minnesota United · Home15 Mar 2026 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.86 | +3.42 |
| M5 | San Jose Earthquakes · Home22 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.01 | +1.42 |
| M6 | Portland Timbers · Home5 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.66 | +2.08 |
| M7 | New York City · Home12 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +3.05 |
| M8 | Sporting Kansas City · Home18 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.36 | +3.41 |
| M9 | Colorado Rapids · Home26 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.74 | +4.15 |
| M10 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Away3 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | +3.39 |
| M11 | San Jose Earthquakes · Away10 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | +2.77 |
| M12 | FC Dallas · Away14 May 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.29 | +4.06 |
| M13 | Houston Dynamo · Away17 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.70 | +2.37 |
| M14 | San Diego FC · Away24 May 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.36 | +3.72 |
| M15 | FC Cincinnati · Away23 Jul 2026 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.71 | +2.01 |
| M16 | Minnesota United · Away26 Jul 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.65 | +1.36 |
| M17 | Los Angeles FC · Home2 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | +0.52 |
| M18 | Seattle Sounders · Away17 Aug 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +1.77 |
| M19 | Houston Dynamo · Home20 Aug 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.01 | −0.24 |
| M20 | FC Dallas · Home23 Aug 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +0.50 |
| M21 | Sporting Kansas City · Away30 Aug 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +1.26 |
| M22 | St. Louis City · Home6 Sep 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.10 | −0.85 |
| M23 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Home10 Sep 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.54 | −0.31 |
| M24 | Austin FC · Home13 Sep 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.37 | −2.68 |
| M25 | Real Salt Lake · Away20 Sep 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.23 | −1.44 |
| M26 | DC United · Home27 Sep 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.43 | −2.87 |
| M27 | Chicago Fire · Away7 Oct 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.51 | −4.38 |
| M28 | Los Angeles FC · Away11 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −4.67 |
| M29 | St. Louis City · Away15 Oct 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | −4.95 |
| M30 | Austin FC · Away18 Oct 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.94 | −4.02 |
| Total | 55 | −4.02 | |||