Points
44Points expected by the market
47.63Gap
−3.63Yield
−18.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 5 | −6.46 | −70.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 35 | +5.29 | +5.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 4 | −2.47 | −44.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 5 | −6.46 | −70.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 22 | +5.79 | +35.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 13 | −0.49 | −27.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 4 | −2.47 | −44.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Woking · Home3 Aug 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.60 | −1.60 |
| M2 | Dover Athletic · Away6 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.02 | +0.42 |
| M3 | Halifax · Away10 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | −0.84 |
| M4 | Boreham Wood · Home13 Aug 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.56 | −2.40 |
| M5 | Harrogate · Home17 Aug 2019 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.75 | −0.65 |
| M6 | Eastleigh · Away24 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.84 |
| M7 | Yeovil · Home26 Aug 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.38 | +0.54 |
| M8 | Chesterfield · Away31 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.57 |
| M9 | Bromley · Home4 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.38 |
| M10 | Maidenhead · Away7 Sep 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +2.12 |
| M11 | Hartlepool · Home14 Sep 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +3.72 |
| M12 | Torquay · Away21 Sep 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | +3.64 |
| M13 | Sutton · Away24 Sep 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +5.24 |
| M14 | Chorley · Home28 Sep 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.82 | +4.42 |
| M15 | Barnet · Home5 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | +4.00 |
| M16 | Notts County · Away8 Oct 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.09 | +2.90 |
| M17 | Wrexham · Home26 Oct 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +4.52 |
| M18 | Barrow · Home29 Oct 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.38 | +3.14 |
| M19 | Solihull · Away2 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.01 | +2.13 |
| M20 | Stockport · Away9 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | +0.76 |
| M21 | Aldershot · Home16 Nov 2019 | W 6-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +2.37 |
| M22 | Fylde · Away23 Nov 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.87 | +1.50 |
| M23 | Sutton · Home26 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | +0.10 |
| M24 | Chorley · Away30 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | −1.08 |
| M25 | Maidenhead · Home7 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.73 | −2.81 |
| M26 | Hartlepool · Away21 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | −3.75 |
| M27 | Ebbsfleet · Home26 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | −4.20 |
| M28 | Bromley · Away28 Dec 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.94 | −5.14 |
| M29 | Ebbsfleet · Away1 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | −5.38 |
| M30 | Torquay · Home4 Jan 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.45 | −5.83 |
| M31 | Notts County · Home25 Jan 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.77 | −4.06 |
| M32 | Wrexham · Away1 Feb 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | −4.14 |
| M33 | Stockport · Home8 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | −4.70 |
| M34 | Solihull · Home22 Feb 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.73 | −2.97 |
| M35 | Barrow · Away29 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.76 | −3.73 |
| M36 | Aldershot · Away7 Mar 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | −2.07 |
| M37 | Fylde · Home10 Mar 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | −3.63 |
| Total | 44 | −3.63 | |||