Points
43Points expected by the market
54.43Gap
−11.43Yield
−23.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 25 | −5.29 | −35.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 12 | −9.34 | −50.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 6 | +3.19 | +193.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 21 | −2.86 | −32.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 7 | +1.13 | +21.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 4 | −2.42 | −46.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 5 | −10.47 | −74.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 6 | +3.19 | +193.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Barrow · Home3 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +1.32 |
| M2 | Boreham Wood · Away6 Aug 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.60 | +0.72 |
| M3 | Dover Athletic · Away10 Aug 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −0.61 |
| M4 | Halifax · Home13 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +0.58 |
| M5 | Notts County · Away18 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | +0.25 |
| M6 | Barnet · Home24 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | −0.38 |
| M7 | Hartlepool · Away26 Aug 2019 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.41 | −1.80 |
| M8 | Stockport · Home31 Aug 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −3.37 |
| M9 | Maidenhead · Home3 Sep 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.80 | −4.17 |
| M10 | Sutton · Home14 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.85 | −5.02 |
| M11 | Aldershot · Away21 Sep 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | −6.52 |
| M12 | Fylde · Away24 Sep 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.15 | −7.67 |
| M13 | Ebbsfleet · Home28 Sep 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.18 | −6.49 |
| M14 | Solihull · Away1 Oct 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.04 | −7.53 |
| M15 | Woking · Away5 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −7.80 |
| M16 | Harrogate · Home8 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | −8.39 |
| M17 | Chesterfield · Home15 Oct 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.64 | −10.03 |
| M18 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Away26 Oct 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −11.36 |
| M19 | Torquay · Away29 Oct 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | −12.44 |
| M20 | Bromley · Home2 Nov 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −10.89 |
| M21 | Yeovil · Home23 Nov 2019 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.54 | −11.43 |
| M22 | Fylde · Home26 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | −12.91 |
| M23 | Ebbsfleet · Away30 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −14.45 |
| M24 | Eastleigh · Away3 Dec 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −12.63 |
| M25 | Solihull · Home7 Dec 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.60 | −11.03 |
| M26 | Sutton · Away21 Dec 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.35 | −12.38 |
| M27 | Chorley · Home26 Dec 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.16 | −11.22 |
| M28 | Maidenhead · Away28 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.71 | −12.93 |
| M29 | Chorley · Away1 Jan 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.43 | −11.50 |
| M30 | Aldershot · Home4 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.74 | −13.24 |
| M31 | Woking · Home18 Jan 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −11.82 |
| M32 | Harrogate · Away25 Jan 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.13 | −9.69 |
| M33 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Home1 Feb 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.63 | −10.32 |
| M34 | Chesterfield · Away8 Feb 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.44 | −11.76 |
| M35 | Bromley · Away22 Feb 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.10 | −9.66 |
| M36 | Yeovil · Away29 Feb 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.09 | −10.75 |
| M37 | Eastleigh · Home7 Mar 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.68 | −11.43 |
| Total | 43 | −11.43 | |||