Points
31Points expected by the market
40.93Gap
−9.93Yield
−34.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.81 | −36.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 6 | −7.92 | −51.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 29 | 21 | −1.20 | −27.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.81 | −36.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 3 | −3.57 | −52.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 10 | −1.09 | +0.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 3 | −4.35 | −50.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 11 | −0.12 | −49.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Eastleigh · Home3 Oct 2020 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.43 | −1.43 |
| M2 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Away6 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.06 | +0.63 |
| M3 | Notts County · Away10 Oct 2020 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.82 | −0.19 |
| M4 | Weymouth · Home13 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +1.10 |
| M5 | Wrexham · Away27 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.11 | +1.21 |
| M6 | Bromley · Home14 Nov 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.23 | −0.02 |
| M7 | King's Lynn · Home17 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −1.56 |
| M8 | Woking · Away21 Nov 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.09 | −2.66 |
| M9 | Hartlepool · Home24 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.03 | −2.63 |
| M10 | Halifax · Away2 Dec 2020 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.15 | −3.78 |
| M11 | Wealdstone · Home5 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.56 | −4.34 |
| M12 | Stockport · Home8 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | −5.18 |
| M13 | Chesterfield · Away12 Dec 2020 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.84 | −6.02 |
| M14 | Boreham Wood · Home2 Jan 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.00 | −7.02 |
| M15 | Altrincham · Home23 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −8.28 |
| M16 | Dover Athletic · Away26 Jan 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.40 | −9.67 |
| M17 | Torquay · Home30 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −10.44 |
| M18 | Aldershot · Away2 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | −11.28 |
| M19 | Halifax · Home16 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.09 | −9.19 |
| M20 | Woking · Home20 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −10.42 |
| M21 | King's Lynn · Away23 Feb 2021 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.11 | −11.53 |
| M22 | Hartlepool · Away27 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.48 | −12.01 |
| M23 | Yeovil · Home2 Mar 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.88 | −12.89 |
| M24 | Wrexham · Home9 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −13.76 |
| M25 | Bromley · Away13 Mar 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.37 | −13.40 |
| M26 | Stockport · Away16 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.41 | −13.80 |
| M27 | Chesterfield · Home20 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.71 | −14.51 |
| M28 | Yeovil · Away27 Mar 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.62 | −15.13 |
| M29 | Solihull · Home2 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.76 | −15.89 |
| M30 | Wealdstone · Away5 Apr 2021 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.39 | −17.27 |
| M31 | Maidenhead · Away10 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.30 | −16.97 |
| M32 | Aldershot · Home17 Apr 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.17 | −14.80 |
| M33 | Boreham Wood · Away20 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.36 | −14.44 |
| M34 | Altrincham · Away24 Apr 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.04 | −12.40 |
| M35 | Sutton · Away27 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.58 | −12.99 |
| M36 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Home1 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −13.99 |
| M37 | Weymouth · Away3 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.79 | −12.20 |
| M38 | Notts County · Home8 May 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.65 | −12.85 |
| M39 | Eastleigh · Away15 May 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.78 | −13.64 |
| M40 | Solihull · Away19 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.69 | −14.33 |
| M41 | Torquay · Away22 May 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.71 | −13.62 |
| M42 | Maidenhead · Home25 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −12.04 |
| M43 | Sutton · Home29 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.11 | −9.93 |
| Total | 31 | −9.93 | |||