Points
56Points expected by the market
65.70Gap
−9.70Yield
−35.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 8 | −0.73 | −29.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 20 | −3.30 | −14.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 28 | −2.53 | −40.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −3.13 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | +0.48 | −6.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 11 | −5.31 | −42.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 6 | −4.69 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.03 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.21 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 9 | +2.01 | +48.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 22 | +2.16 | −8.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.09 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Wrexham · Away3 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −1.17 |
| M2 | Halifax · Home10 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.81 | −1.98 |
| M3 | King's Lynn · Away13 Oct 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.43 | −0.54 |
| M4 | Solihull · Away17 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | −1.59 |
| M5 | Woking · Home27 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | −0.38 |
| M6 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Home10 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.92 | −2.30 |
| M7 | Torquay · Away14 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −2.46 |
| M8 | Bromley · Away17 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | −2.90 |
| M9 | Altrincham · Home21 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.98 | −4.88 |
| M10 | Hartlepool · Away5 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | −3.25 |
| M11 | Notts County · Away8 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.88 | −1.37 |
| M12 | Aldershot · Home12 Dec 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.19 | −0.19 |
| M13 | Barnet · Away2 Jan 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +1.09 |
| M14 | Dover Athletic · Away12 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.21 | −0.12 |
| M15 | Stockport · Away23 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.30 |
| M16 | Chesterfield · Home26 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.46 | −0.76 |
| M17 | Eastleigh · Home30 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.61 | −2.37 |
| M18 | Weymouth · Home2 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.04 | −1.32 |
| M19 | Maidenhead · Away6 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +0.19 |
| M20 | Sutton · Away13 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −1.07 |
| M21 | Yeovil · Home16 Feb 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.51 | −2.58 |
| M22 | Altrincham · Away20 Feb 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.54 | −1.04 |
| M23 | Bromley · Home23 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | −1.58 |
| M24 | Solihull · Home27 Feb 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.43 | −2.01 |
| M25 | Wealdstone · Away2 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.99 | −3.99 |
| M26 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Away6 Mar 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.52 | −4.52 |
| M27 | Woking · Away9 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | −5.02 |
| M28 | Torquay · Home13 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | −5.33 |
| M29 | Notts County · Home16 Mar 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.30 | −5.63 |
| M30 | Aldershot · Away20 Mar 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.49 | −6.12 |
| M31 | Sutton · Home2 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.27 | −6.39 |
| M32 | Hartlepool · Home5 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | −6.70 |
| M33 | Wealdstone · Home10 Apr 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.81 | −5.90 |
| M34 | Chesterfield · Away13 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.11 | −6.01 |
| M35 | Yeovil · Away17 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | −7.41 |
| M36 | Barnet · Home20 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.15 | −8.55 |
| M37 | Stockport · Home24 Apr 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.03 | −9.59 |
| M38 | King's Lynn · Home3 May 2021 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.82 | −8.77 |
| M39 | Halifax · Away8 May 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | −6.94 |
| M40 | Wrexham · Home15 May 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.10 | −8.04 |
| M41 | Weymouth · Away18 May 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.29 | −6.75 |
| M42 | Eastleigh · Away22 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −7.79 |
| M43 | Maidenhead · Home29 May 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.90 | −9.70 |
| Total | 56 | −9.70 | |||