Points
69Points expected by the market
66.03Gap
+2.97Yield
+5.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 13 | +1.50 | +11.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 33 | +2.70 | +5.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 20 | −1.19 | −1.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | −0.03 | +33.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | −0.22 | −10.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 20 | −0.04 | −6.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 6 | +0.52 | +22.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.08 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.71 | +44.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 13 | +2.73 | +29.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 14 | −1.71 | −9.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.05 | +300.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hartlepool · Home6 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −1.22 |
| M2 | Woking · Home10 Oct 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +0.45 |
| M3 | Torquay · Away13 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −0.61 |
| M4 | Stockport · Home17 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −1.67 |
| M5 | Wealdstone · Away20 Oct 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.45 | −3.12 |
| M6 | Yeovil · Away31 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.89 | −1.23 |
| M7 | Maidenhead · Home14 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.55 | −2.78 |
| M8 | Altrincham · Away17 Nov 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.47 | −4.25 |
| M9 | Notts County · Home21 Nov 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.02 | −5.27 |
| M10 | Weymouth · Away28 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.46 | −3.81 |
| M11 | Aldershot · Home1 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.60 | −4.41 |
| M12 | Sutton · Away8 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.05 | −2.36 |
| M13 | Barnet · Home12 Dec 2020 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.08 | −1.28 |
| M14 | Solihull · Home2 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +0.25 |
| M15 | Solihull · Away5 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −1.13 |
| M16 | Wrexham · Home23 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +0.26 |
| M17 | Boreham Wood · Away26 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.25 | 0.00 |
| M18 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Away30 Jan 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.56 | −0.55 |
| M19 | Notts County · Away20 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +1.29 |
| M20 | Altrincham · Home23 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +2.46 |
| M21 | Stockport · Away27 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | +1.29 |
| M22 | Eastleigh · Home2 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +2.49 |
| M23 | Yeovil · Home6 Mar 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +3.82 |
| M24 | Maidenhead · Away13 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.80 | +2.03 |
| M25 | Sutton · Home16 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.59 | +0.44 |
| M26 | Barnet · Away20 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.92 | +1.36 |
| M27 | Aldershot · Away23 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +2.70 |
| M28 | Weymouth · Home27 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +3.55 |
| M29 | Eastleigh · Away2 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +4.91 |
| M30 | King's Lynn · Away10 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.92 | +5.83 |
| M31 | Boreham Wood · Home13 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.60 | +5.24 |
| M32 | Bromley · Home17 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.68 | +3.56 |
| M33 | Halifax · Home20 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | +1.99 |
| M34 | Wrexham · Away24 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | +1.61 |
| M35 | Bromley · Away27 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +3.07 |
| M36 | Hartlepool · Away1 May 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.24 | +1.83 |
| M37 | Torquay · Home3 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.47 | +0.36 |
| M38 | Woking · Away8 May 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.79 | +1.15 |
| M39 | King's Lynn · Home11 May 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.61 | +1.76 |
| M40 | Wealdstone · Home15 May 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.67 | +0.09 |
| M41 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Home22 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +1.47 |
| M42 | Halifax · Away29 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +2.97 |
| Total | 69 | +2.97 | |||