Points
65Points expected by the market
59.80Gap
+5.20Yield
+4.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.87 | +45.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 25 | +0.53 | +2.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 33 | +4.42 | +11.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | −0.61 | −25.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.87 | +45.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 18 | +2.19 | +19.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −3.08 | −47.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.91 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 7 | −1.67 | −27.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 23 | +7.50 | +59.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.30 | −6.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Home3 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +1.73 |
| M2 | Stockport · Away6 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.88 | +0.85 |
| M3 | Boreham Wood · Away10 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.91 |
| M4 | Yeovil · Home13 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | +0.49 |
| M5 | Woking · Away17 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | +0.27 |
| M6 | Wealdstone · Home10 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.62 | −1.34 |
| M7 | Notts County · Home17 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | −1.42 |
| M8 | Torquay · Home21 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −2.57 |
| M9 | Sutton · Away28 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | −3.47 |
| M10 | Barnet · Home2 Dec 2020 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.43 | −2.04 |
| M11 | Weymouth · Away5 Dec 2020 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.46 | −0.58 |
| M12 | Aldershot · Away8 Dec 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +1.03 |
| M13 | Solihull · Away15 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −0.12 |
| M14 | Eastleigh · Home22 Dec 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +1.48 |
| M15 | Hartlepool · Away26 Dec 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.37 | +0.10 |
| M16 | Altrincham · Home28 Dec 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.18 | +1.28 |
| M17 | King's Lynn · Away9 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | +0.64 |
| M18 | Bromley · Away23 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.82 | +2.46 |
| M19 | Wrexham · Away26 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | +2.15 |
| M20 | Maidenhead · Home30 Jan 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.70 | +0.45 |
| M21 | Barnet · Away16 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.84 | −1.39 |
| M22 | Torquay · Away20 Feb 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.01 | +0.61 |
| M23 | Hartlepool · Home2 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | +0.39 |
| M24 | Wealdstone · Away6 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +1.52 |
| M25 | Notts County · Away9 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.87 | +3.39 |
| M26 | Solihull · Home13 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +4.72 |
| M27 | Aldershot · Home16 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +5.91 |
| M28 | Eastleigh · Away20 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.61 | +4.30 |
| M29 | Sutton · Home27 Mar 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.24 | +4.06 |
| M30 | Weymouth · Home5 Apr 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.94 | +5.00 |
| M31 | Altrincham · Away10 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +6.49 |
| M32 | Wrexham · Home13 Apr 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.55 | +4.95 |
| M33 | King's Lynn · Home17 Apr 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.87 | +5.81 |
| M34 | Chesterfield · Away20 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +7.67 |
| M35 | Bromley · Home24 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | +6.09 |
| M36 | Woking · Home27 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +7.11 |
| M37 | Stockport · Home1 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | +6.21 |
| M38 | Yeovil · Away3 May 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +7.87 |
| M39 | Boreham Wood · Home8 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | +6.34 |
| M40 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Away15 May 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.23 | +5.11 |
| M41 | Maidenhead · Away22 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.31 | +6.42 |
| M42 | Chesterfield · Home29 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +5.20 |
| Total | 65 | +5.20 | |||