Points
76Points expected by the market
68.57Gap
+7.43Yield
+11.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 9 | −0.29 | −4.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 33 | +0.42 | −11.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 30 | +6.38 | +35.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +0.92 | +35.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.17 | +23.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 21 | +0.44 | −6.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 18 | +6.76 | +88.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.46 | −32.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 12 | −0.02 | −19.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 12 | −0.39 | −11.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +0.92 | +35.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Aldershot · Home3 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +1.18 |
| M2 | Chesterfield · Away6 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +2.67 |
| M3 | Maidenhead · Away10 Oct 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +3.78 |
| M4 | Bromley · Home13 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.82 | +2.95 |
| M5 | Altrincham · Home27 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.00 | +1.95 |
| M6 | Torquay · Home31 Oct 2020 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.58 | +0.37 |
| M7 | Wrexham · Home17 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.43 | −1.06 |
| M8 | Yeovil · Away21 Nov 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.73 | +0.67 |
| M9 | Barnet · Away24 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.78 | −0.10 |
| M10 | Solihull · Away1 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −1.27 |
| M11 | Boreham Wood · Home5 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −2.62 |
| M12 | King's Lynn · Home8 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.09 | −1.53 |
| M13 | Woking · Away12 Dec 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.37 | −2.89 |
| M14 | Stockport · Home22 Dec 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.84 | −1.05 |
| M15 | Halifax · Home26 Dec 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.65 | +0.60 |
| M16 | Notts County · Away28 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.06 | +2.66 |
| M17 | Wealdstone · Home9 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.98 | +3.64 |
| M18 | Weymouth · Away23 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.23 | +1.41 |
| M19 | Sutton · Home30 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +2.97 |
| M20 | Solihull · Home9 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +4.35 |
| M21 | Eastleigh · Away16 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | +2.81 |
| M22 | Yeovil · Home20 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.46 | +4.27 |
| M23 | Wrexham · Away23 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | +3.79 |
| M24 | Barnet · Home27 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.65 | +4.44 |
| M25 | Halifax · Away2 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | +3.96 |
| M26 | Torquay · Away6 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +5.75 |
| M27 | Altrincham · Away9 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | +5.12 |
| M28 | Eastleigh · Home13 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.89 | +4.23 |
| M29 | King's Lynn · Away16 Mar 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.84 | +3.39 |
| M30 | Woking · Home20 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +4.46 |
| M31 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Away23 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +5.84 |
| M32 | Stockport · Away27 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | +5.76 |
| M33 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Home2 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.06 | +6.82 |
| M34 | Boreham Wood · Away5 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.37 | +6.45 |
| M35 | Notts County · Home10 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +7.95 |
| M36 | Wealdstone · Away17 Apr 2021 | W 7-2 | 3 | +0.77 | +8.72 |
| M37 | Chesterfield · Home1 May 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +10.25 |
| M38 | Bromley · Away3 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | +8.73 |
| M39 | Maidenhead · Home8 May 2021 | L 2-4 | 0 | −2.03 | +6.70 |
| M40 | Aldershot · Away15 May 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +7.98 |
| M41 | Sutton · Away23 May 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.07 | +6.91 |
| M42 | Weymouth · Home29 May 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.52 | +7.43 |
| Total | 76 | +7.43 | |||