← National League 2020-21

Notts County

Season 2020-21 · 43 matches played

Last 5WDWWL

Points

Points expected by the market

72.86

Gap

−2.86

Yield

−12.3%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	6	13	12.98	+0.02	−6.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	22	37	39.09	−2.09	−9.5%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	15	20	20.78	−0.78	−19.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	4	7	8.76	−1.76	−32.5%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	14	22	24.50	−2.50	−7.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	3	7	4.30	+2.70	+66.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	2	6	4.22	+1.78	+47.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	8	15	14.59	+0.41	−13.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	12	13	16.48	−3.48	−40.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Dover Athletic · Away3 Oct 2020	3 Oct 2020	L 0-1	1.74	1.84	0	−1.84	−1.84	−€1.00
M2	Altrincham · Home7 Oct 2020	7 Oct 2020	W 3-1	1.46	2.11	3	+0.89	−0.95	+€0.46
M3	Barnet · Home10 Oct 2020	10 Oct 2020	W 4-2	1.63	1.94	3	+1.06	+0.11	+€0.63
M4	Sutton · Away13 Oct 2020	13 Oct 2020	W 1-0	2.44	1.41	3	+1.59	+1.70	+€1.44
M5	Maidenhead · Home17 Oct 2020	17 Oct 2020	L 2-3	1.43	2.14	0	−2.14	−0.44	−€1.00
M6	Aldershot · Away7 Nov 2020	7 Nov 2020	L 0-1	2.23	1.51	0	−1.51	−1.95	−€1.00
M7	Halifax · Away17 Nov 2020	17 Nov 2020	D 1-1	2.04	1.64	1	−0.64	−2.59	−€1.00
M8	Chesterfield · Away21 Nov 2020	21 Nov 2020	W 3-2	1.89	1.72	3	+1.28	−1.31	+€0.89
M9	Wealdstone · Home27 Nov 2020	27 Nov 2020	W 3-0	1.58	1.98	3	+1.02	−0.29	+€0.58
M10	Dagenham & Redbridge · Away2 Dec 2020	2 Dec 2020	D 0-0	1.79	1.81	1	−0.81	−1.10	−€1.00
M11	Woking · Home5 Dec 2020	5 Dec 2020	W 1-0	1.80	1.80	3	+1.20	+0.11	+€0.80
M12	Boreham Wood · Home8 Dec 2020	8 Dec 2020	L 0-1	2.09	1.60	0	−1.60	−1.50	−€1.00
M13	Stockport · Home15 Dec 2020	15 Dec 2020	W 1-0	2.54	1.36	3	+1.64	+0.14	+€1.54
M14	Hartlepool · Home28 Dec 2020	28 Dec 2020	L 0-1	1.78	1.81	0	−1.81	−1.67	−€1.00
M15	Torquay · Home23 Jan 2021	23 Jan 2021	D 0-0	2.23	1.50	1	−0.50	−2.17	−€1.00
M16	Solihull · Home27 Jan 2021	27 Jan 2021	W 2-0	1.94	1.70	3	+1.30	−0.86	+€0.94
M17	Weymouth · Away30 Jan 2021	30 Jan 2021	W 1-0	1.48	2.10	3	+0.90	+0.04	+€0.48
M18	Dagenham & Redbridge · Home9 Feb 2021	9 Feb 2021	W 3-1	1.74	1.87	3	+1.13	+1.17	+€0.74
M19	King's Lynn · Away16 Feb 2021	16 Feb 2021	W 1-0	1.60	1.96	3	+1.04	+2.21	+€0.60
M20	Chesterfield · Home20 Feb 2021	20 Feb 2021	L 0-1	2.14	1.57	0	−1.57	+0.65	−€1.00
M21	Stockport · Away23 Feb 2021	23 Feb 2021	D 0-0	3.41	1.09	1	−0.09	+0.56	−€1.00
M22	King's Lynn · Home2 Mar 2021	2 Mar 2021	D 2-2	1.46	2.11	1	−1.11	−0.55	−€1.00
M23	Halifax · Home9 Mar 2021	9 Mar 2021	L 1-2	2.09	1.60	0	−1.60	−2.15	−€1.00
M24	Wealdstone · Away13 Mar 2021	13 Mar 2021	W 1-0	1.55	2.02	3	+0.98	−1.16	+€0.55
M25	Boreham Wood · Away16 Mar 2021	16 Mar 2021	D 2-2	2.52	1.40	1	−0.40	−1.56	−€1.00
M26	Yeovil · Home20 Mar 2021	20 Mar 2021	W 2-0	2.12	1.61	3	+1.39	−0.17	+€1.12
M27	Yeovil · Away23 Mar 2021	23 Mar 2021	D 2-2	2.36	1.47	1	−0.47	−0.64	−€1.00
M28	Aldershot · Home30 Mar 2021	30 Mar 2021	L 0-1	1.55	2.03	0	−2.03	−2.67	−€1.00
M29	Wrexham · Home2 Apr 2021	2 Apr 2021	W 1-0	2.17	1.57	3	+1.43	−1.24	+€1.17
M30	Woking · Away5 Apr 2021	5 Apr 2021	W 4-2	2.25	1.52	3	+1.48	+0.24	+€1.25
M31	Hartlepool · Away10 Apr 2021	10 Apr 2021	L 0-2	3.03	1.21	0	−1.21	−0.97	−€1.00
M32	Solihull · Away13 Apr 2021	13 Apr 2021	L 1-2	2.33	1.48	0	−1.48	−2.45	−€1.00
M33	Eastleigh · Home17 Apr 2021	17 Apr 2021	L 0-1	1.87	1.77	0	−1.77	−4.23	−€1.00
M34	Torquay · Away24 Apr 2021	24 Apr 2021	D 2-2	2.97	1.22	1	−0.22	−4.45	−€1.00
M35	Eastleigh · Away27 Apr 2021	27 Apr 2021	L 0-2	2.23	1.54	0	−1.54	−5.99	−€1.00
M36	Altrincham · Away1 May 2021	1 May 2021	D 1-1	1.73	1.87	1	−0.87	−6.86	−€1.00
M37	Sutton · Home4 May 2021	4 May 2021	W 3-2	2.44	1.44	3	+1.56	−5.30	+€1.44
M38	Barnet · Away8 May 2021	8 May 2021	W 4-1	1.46	2.12	3	+0.88	−4.43	+€0.46
M39	Maidenhead · Away11 May 2021	11 May 2021	W 4-0	1.89	1.73	3	+1.27	−3.15	+€0.89
M40	Bromley · Home15 May 2021	15 May 2021	D 2-2	1.99	1.68	1	−0.68	−3.83	−€1.00
M41	Wrexham · Away18 May 2021	18 May 2021	W 1-0	2.48	1.41	3	+1.59	−2.24	+€1.48
M42	Weymouth · Home22 May 2021	22 May 2021	W 3-0	1.24	2.41	3	+0.59	−1.65	+€0.24
M43	Bromley · Away29 May 2021	29 May 2021	L 0-1	2.94	1.20	0	−1.20	−2.86	−€1.00
Total					72.86	70	−2.86		−€5.30