Points
80Points expected by the market
81.08Gap
−1.08Yield
−13.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | 21 | −4.47 | −30.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 26 | 54 | +7.15 | +4.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 5 | −3.76 | −61.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 15 | −3.86 | −37.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 22 | −1.35 | −30.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.50 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 6 | −0.61 | −10.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 32 | +8.49 | +39.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 4 | −3.26 | −53.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Torquay · Away3 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.43 | −1.43 |
| M2 | Halifax · Home6 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.14 | −0.29 |
| M3 | Dover Athletic · Home10 Oct 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +0.65 |
| M4 | Wealdstone · Away13 Oct 2020 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.15 | +1.80 |
| M5 | Chesterfield · Away17 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +3.14 |
| M6 | Solihull · Home27 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | +2.63 |
| M7 | Weymouth · Home31 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.31 | +0.32 |
| M8 | Bromley · Away5 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +1.86 |
| M9 | Barnet · Away8 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.07 | +2.94 |
| M10 | Notts County · Away15 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | +1.58 |
| M11 | Hartlepool · Away22 Dec 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.55 | +0.03 |
| M12 | Altrincham · Away26 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.77 | −0.75 |
| M13 | Wrexham · Home28 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +0.53 |
| M14 | Altrincham · Home2 Jan 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.12 | −0.59 |
| M15 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Away19 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.00 | +0.41 |
| M16 | Boreham Wood · Home23 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −0.14 |
| M17 | Woking · Away30 Jan 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.10 | +0.96 |
| M18 | Sutton · Home2 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.69 | −0.73 |
| M19 | Yeovil · Home6 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +0.42 |
| M20 | Aldershot · Home13 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.05 | −0.63 |
| M21 | Maidenhead · Away16 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.94 | −1.57 |
| M22 | Eastleigh · Away20 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.80 | −3.36 |
| M23 | Notts County · Home23 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.63 | −4.00 |
| M24 | Chesterfield · Home27 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.43 | −2.57 |
| M25 | Weymouth · Away6 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.09 | −4.66 |
| M26 | Solihull · Away9 Mar 2021 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.39 | −3.27 |
| M27 | Barnet · Home16 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.57 | −2.70 |
| M28 | Sutton · Away20 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −3.16 |
| M29 | Eastleigh · Home23 Mar 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.84 | −2.32 |
| M30 | Hartlepool · Home27 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | −2.95 |
| M31 | Aldershot · Away2 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.17 | −1.79 |
| M32 | Bromley · Home5 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.96 | −2.75 |
| M33 | Wrexham · Away10 Apr 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.30 | −1.45 |
| M34 | King's Lynn · Home13 Apr 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.63 | −0.82 |
| M35 | Maidenhead · Home17 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.28 | −2.10 |
| M36 | Boreham Wood · Away24 Apr 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −0.77 |
| M37 | King's Lynn · Away27 Apr 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.64 | −0.13 |
| M38 | Halifax · Away1 May 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +1.03 |
| M39 | Wealdstone · Home3 May 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.34 | +1.37 |
| M40 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Home11 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.07 | +0.31 |
| M41 | Torquay · Home16 May 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.70 | −0.39 |
| M42 | Woking · Home22 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.53 | −1.92 |
| M43 | Yeovil · Away29 May 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.84 | −1.08 |
| Total | 80 | −1.08 | |||