Points
83Points expected by the market
71.91Gap
+11.09Yield
+18.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 14 | +0.67 | −4.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 23 | 41 | +0.29 | −6.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 21 | +6.20 | +48.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 7 | +3.93 | +145.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 11 | −0.17 | −13.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 27 | +2.33 | +4.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.30 | −9.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.84 | +41.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 14 | −2.04 | −23.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 17 | +6.50 | +69.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 7 | +3.93 | +145.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Stockport · Home3 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +1.71 |
| M2 | Eastleigh · Away6 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | +0.45 |
| M3 | Bromley · Away10 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.04 | +2.49 |
| M4 | Chesterfield · Home13 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +3.82 |
| M5 | Dover Athletic · Home17 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.93 | +4.74 |
| M6 | Aldershot · Away27 Oct 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +6.30 |
| M7 | Hartlepool · Away31 Oct 2020 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +8.15 |
| M8 | Boreham Wood · Home14 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | +7.59 |
| M9 | Halifax · Away21 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +9.00 |
| M10 | Wealdstone · Away1 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +10.00 |
| M11 | Wrexham · Home5 Dec 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +11.33 |
| M12 | Maidenhead · Home8 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.83 | +12.15 |
| M13 | King's Lynn · Away12 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.84 | +11.31 |
| M14 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Home15 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.97 | +9.34 |
| M15 | Yeovil · Home26 Dec 2020 | W 6-1 | 3 | +1.31 | +10.65 |
| M16 | Weymouth · Away28 Dec 2020 | W 4-3 | 3 | +0.84 | +11.49 |
| M17 | Yeovil · Away2 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.70 | +9.79 |
| M18 | Notts County · Away23 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | +9.54 |
| M19 | Sutton · Home26 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.55 | +9.00 |
| M20 | Barnet · Away30 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +9.98 |
| M21 | Altrincham · Home2 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.85 | +8.13 |
| M22 | Wealdstone · Home9 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.19 | +6.94 |
| M23 | Halifax · Home20 Feb 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.75 | +5.19 |
| M24 | Solihull · Away23 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.68 | +6.87 |
| M25 | Hartlepool · Home6 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | +5.35 |
| M26 | Boreham Wood · Away13 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.42 | +4.93 |
| M27 | Maidenhead · Away16 Mar 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.70 | +3.23 |
| M28 | King's Lynn · Home20 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.00 | +4.23 |
| M29 | Solihull · Home23 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +5.48 |
| M30 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Away27 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.60 | +3.88 |
| M31 | Woking · Home2 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +4.92 |
| M32 | Wrexham · Away5 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +6.49 |
| M33 | Weymouth · Home10 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.85 | +7.35 |
| M34 | Sutton · Away13 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.91 | +9.25 |
| M35 | Woking · Away20 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +10.37 |
| M36 | Notts County · Home24 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.49 | +9.89 |
| M37 | Aldershot · Home27 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.15 | +11.04 |
| M38 | Eastleigh · Home1 May 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.27 | +12.31 |
| M39 | Chesterfield · Away3 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.76 | +14.07 |
| M40 | Bromley · Home8 May 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.67 | +13.40 |
| M41 | Stockport · Away16 May 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.02 | +13.38 |
| M42 | Barnet · Home22 May 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.59 | +11.79 |
| M43 | Altrincham · Away29 May 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.70 | +11.09 |
| Total | 83 | +11.09 | |||