← National League 2022-23

Altrincham

Season 2022-23 · 46 matches played

Last 5LLDDD

Points

Points expected by the market

59.00

Gap

−3.00

Yield

−25.1%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	15	25	24.40	+0.60	−4.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	20	27	25.63	+1.37	+0.9%
Underdog 3.50 or more	11	4	8.97	−4.97	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	13	22	21.17	+0.83	−6.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	7	13	9.40	+3.60	+50.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	3	0	2.38	−2.38	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	2	3	3.23	−0.23	+2.5%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	13	14	16.23	−2.23	−25.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more	8	4	6.59	−2.59	−100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Maidstone · Home6 Aug 2022	6 Aug 2022	D 1-1	2.17	1.54	1	−0.54	−0.54	−€1.00
M2	Bromley · Away13 Aug 2022	13 Aug 2022	D 0-0	3.72	1.01	1	−0.01	−0.55	−€1.00
M3	Maidenhead · Away16 Aug 2022	16 Aug 2022	L 0-2	2.52	1.38	0	−1.38	−1.93	−€1.00
M4	Yeovil · Home20 Aug 2022	20 Aug 2022	D 2-2	2.15	1.57	1	−0.57	−2.50	−€1.00
M5	Boreham Wood · Away27 Aug 2022	27 Aug 2022	D 1-1	3.61	1.05	1	−0.05	−2.54	−€1.00
M6	Chesterfield · Home29 Aug 2022	29 Aug 2022	L 1-2	4.08	0.93	0	−0.93	−3.48	−€1.00
M7	Solihull · Away3 Sep 2022	3 Sep 2022	L 1-5	4.50	0.85	0	−0.85	−4.33	−€1.00
M8	Scunthorpe · Home13 Sep 2022	13 Sep 2022	D 2-2	2.03	1.64	1	−0.64	−4.97	−€1.00
M9	Dagenham & Redbridge · Away17 Sep 2022	17 Sep 2022	L 1-4	3.34	1.10	0	−1.10	−6.06	−€1.00
M10	Aldershot · Home24 Sep 2022	24 Sep 2022	W 1-0	2.11	1.58	3	+1.42	−4.65	+€1.11
M11	Notts County · Away1 Oct 2022	1 Oct 2022	L 1-3	7.56	0.55	0	−0.55	−5.20	−€1.00
M12	Gateshead · Away4 Oct 2022	4 Oct 2022	W 3-1	3.44	1.07	3	+1.93	−3.27	+€2.44
M13	Dorking · Home8 Oct 2022	8 Oct 2022	W 4-1	2.25	1.48	3	+1.52	−1.75	+€1.25
M14	Torquay · Away22 Oct 2022	22 Oct 2022	D 4-4	2.26	1.50	1	−0.50	−2.25	−€1.00
M15	Oldham · Home25 Oct 2022	25 Oct 2022	W 1-0	2.05	1.61	3	+1.39	−0.86	+€1.05
M16	Wrexham · Away29 Oct 2022	29 Oct 2022	L 0-4	7.84	0.52	0	−0.52	−1.38	−€1.00
M17	Wealdstone · Home1 Nov 2022	1 Nov 2022	L 0-1	1.81	1.77	0	−1.77	−3.16	−€1.00
M18	Barnet · Home8 Nov 2022	8 Nov 2022	L 0-2	1.98	1.65	0	−1.65	−4.80	−€1.00
M19	York · Home12 Nov 2022	12 Nov 2022	W 2-1	2.32	1.47	3	+1.53	−3.28	+€1.32
M20	Woking · Away19 Nov 2022	19 Nov 2022	D 1-1	4.87	0.81	1	+0.19	−3.08	−€1.00
M21	Eastleigh · Home26 Nov 2022	26 Nov 2022	W 2-1	2.00	1.65	3	+1.35	−1.74	+€1.00
M22	Southend · Away3 Dec 2022	3 Dec 2022	D 2-2	3.89	0.97	1	+0.03	−1.70	−€1.00
M23	Maidstone · Away10 Dec 2022	10 Dec 2022	W 3-2	2.05	1.61	3	+1.39	−0.31	+€1.05
M24	Halifax · Home26 Dec 2022	26 Dec 2022	W 2-1	2.15	1.58	3	+1.42	+1.11	+€1.15
M25	Halifax · Away1 Jan 2023	1 Jan 2023	D 2-2	2.76	1.28	1	−0.28	+0.83	−€1.00
M26	Maidenhead · Home17 Jan 2023	17 Jan 2023	W 3-2	1.86	1.75	3	+1.25	+2.08	+€0.86
M27	Chesterfield · Away24 Jan 2023	24 Jan 2023	L 0-1	4.50	0.84	0	−0.84	+1.24	−€1.00
M28	Boreham Wood · Home28 Jan 2023	28 Jan 2023	L 0-2	2.22	1.53	0	−1.53	−0.29	−€1.00
M29	Wrexham · Home4 Feb 2023	4 Feb 2023	L 1-2	4.41	0.86	0	−0.86	−1.15	−€1.00
M30	Bromley · Home14 Feb 2023	14 Feb 2023	L 1-2	2.17	1.54	0	−1.54	−2.69	−€1.00
M31	Woking · Home18 Feb 2023	18 Feb 2023	W 3-1	3.25	1.13	3	+1.87	−0.82	+€2.25
M32	Barnet · Away21 Feb 2023	21 Feb 2023	W 4-2	3.22	1.12	3	+1.88	+1.06	+€2.22
M33	Solihull · Home25 Feb 2023	25 Feb 2023	W 4-1	2.05	1.61	3	+1.39	+2.46	+€1.05
M34	Yeovil · Away28 Feb 2023	28 Feb 2023	D 1-1	2.27	1.50	1	−0.50	+1.95	−€1.00
M35	Wealdstone · Away4 Mar 2023	4 Mar 2023	L 0-4	2.03	1.62	0	−1.62	+0.33	−€1.00
M36	Scunthorpe · Away7 Mar 2023	7 Mar 2023	L 0-2	2.31	1.47	0	−1.47	−1.14	−€1.00
M37	York · Away14 Mar 2023	14 Mar 2023	W 2-1	2.98	1.21	3	+1.79	+0.65	+€1.98
M38	Eastleigh · Away18 Mar 2023	18 Mar 2023	L 2-3	3.04	1.19	0	−1.19	−0.54	−€1.00
M39	Southend · Home25 Mar 2023	25 Mar 2023	W 1-0	2.72	1.29	3	+1.71	+1.17	+€1.72
M40	Notts County · Home28 Mar 2023	28 Mar 2023	L 0-2	6.98	0.59	0	−0.59	+0.58	−€1.00
M41	Oldham · Away7 Apr 2023	7 Apr 2023	D 2-2	3.01	1.20	1	−0.20	+0.38	−€1.00
M42	Gateshead · Home10 Apr 2023	10 Apr 2023	L 0-1	3.36	1.09	0	−1.09	−0.71	−€1.00
M43	Dorking · Away15 Apr 2023	15 Apr 2023	L 2-3	3.40	1.07	0	−1.07	−1.79	−€1.00
M44	Dagenham & Redbridge · Home18 Apr 2023	18 Apr 2023	D 2-2	1.97	1.67	1	−0.67	−2.46	−€1.00
M45	Torquay · Home22 Apr 2023	22 Apr 2023	D 2-2	2.43	1.41	1	−0.41	−2.87	−€1.00
M46	Aldershot · Away29 Apr 2023	29 Apr 2023	D 1-1	3.19	1.13	1	−0.13	−3.00	−€1.00
Total					59.00	56	−3.00		−€11.55