Points
84Points expected by the market
85.67Gap
−1.67Yield
−7.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 16 | 32 | −3.89 | −15.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 23 | 42 | +1.02 | −7.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 10 | +2.05 | +31.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.84 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 15 | 29 | −4.78 | −19.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 15 | +4.62 | +55.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.58 | +39.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.89 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 27 | −3.60 | −29.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 7 | +1.46 | +27.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.84 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Dorking · Away6 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.57 | −0.57 |
| M2 | Aldershot · Home13 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.69 | +0.12 |
| M3 | Wrexham · Home16 Aug 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +1.86 |
| M4 | Notts County · Away20 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.31 | +1.55 |
| M5 | Barnet · Home26 Aug 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.86 | +2.41 |
| M6 | Altrincham · Away29 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.19 | +3.59 |
| M7 | Oldham · Away3 Sep 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +4.68 |
| M8 | Southend · Home13 Sep 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.03 | +5.71 |
| M9 | Yeovil · Away17 Sep 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.03 | +4.68 |
| M10 | Maidstone · Away24 Sep 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.04 | +5.72 |
| M11 | Maidenhead · Home1 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.22 | +3.50 |
| M12 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Home4 Oct 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.19 | +1.31 |
| M13 | Eastleigh · Away8 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.61 | −0.30 |
| M14 | Bromley · Home22 Oct 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.36 | +1.06 |
| M15 | York · Away25 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | +0.38 |
| M16 | Boreham Wood · Home29 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +1.73 |
| M17 | Gateshead · Home1 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.88 | +2.61 |
| M18 | Torquay · Away12 Nov 2022 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.05 | +3.67 |
| M19 | Solihull · Home19 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +5.08 |
| M20 | Halifax · Away3 Dec 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.67 | +3.41 |
| M21 | Dorking · Home10 Dec 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.70 | +4.12 |
| M22 | Scunthorpe · Away26 Dec 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.89 | +5.00 |
| M23 | Scunthorpe · Home1 Jan 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.72 | +5.72 |
| M24 | Altrincham · Home24 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +6.80 |
| M25 | Barnet · Away28 Jan 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.72 | +5.08 |
| M26 | Boreham Wood · Away4 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | +3.61 |
| M27 | Woking · Home7 Feb 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.61 | +1.99 |
| M28 | Notts County · Home11 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.15 | +0.84 |
| M29 | Aldershot · Away14 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | 0.00 |
| M30 | Solihull · Away18 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.74 | −0.74 |
| M31 | Wealdstone · Home21 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.27 | −2.01 |
| M32 | Oldham · Home25 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.26 | −4.27 |
| M33 | Wrexham · Away28 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | −5.11 |
| M34 | Gateshead · Away4 Mar 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | −3.71 |
| M35 | Southend · Away7 Mar 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | −2.17 |
| M36 | Yeovil · Home11 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.22 | −3.39 |
| M37 | Wealdstone · Away14 Mar 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.14 | −2.25 |
| M38 | Woking · Away18 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | −0.54 |
| M39 | Halifax · Home25 Mar 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.83 | +0.29 |
| M40 | Maidenhead · Away1 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.02 | −0.73 |
| M41 | York · Home7 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.21 | −2.94 |
| M42 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Away10 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.96 | −1.98 |
| M43 | Eastleigh · Home15 Apr 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.71 | −1.27 |
| M44 | Torquay · Home18 Apr 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.84 | −0.43 |
| M45 | Bromley · Away22 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.60 | −2.03 |
| M46 | Maidstone · Home29 Apr 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.36 | −1.67 |
| Total | 84 | −1.67 | |||