Points
50Points expected by the market
53.97Gap
−3.97Yield
−17.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 10 | +3.17 | +44.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 27 | 35 | −0.34 | −7.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 5 | −6.80 | −50.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.73 | +21.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 23 | +1.44 | −0.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.04 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.44 | +116.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 12 | −1.77 | −19.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 3 | −5.76 | −32.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Notts County · Away6 Aug 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.59 | −0.59 |
| M2 | Scunthorpe · Home13 Aug 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.62 | +1.03 |
| M3 | Altrincham · Home16 Aug 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +2.68 |
| M4 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Away20 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.74 | +1.94 |
| M5 | York · Home27 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | +0.50 |
| M6 | Southend · Away29 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.94 | −0.44 |
| M7 | Halifax · Home3 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | −0.75 |
| M8 | Boreham Wood · Away13 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −1.77 |
| M9 | Woking · Home17 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | −0.01 |
| M10 | Gateshead · Home24 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | −1.31 |
| M11 | Chesterfield · Away1 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.43 | +1.12 |
| M12 | Torquay · Away4 Oct 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.44 | +2.56 |
| M13 | Oldham · Home8 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | +1.91 |
| M14 | Barnet · Away22 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | +0.59 |
| M15 | Solihull · Home25 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −0.56 |
| M16 | Bromley · Home29 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +1.14 |
| M17 | Wrexham · Away1 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.34 | +0.80 |
| M18 | Yeovil · Away8 Nov 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | +0.57 |
| M19 | Aldershot · Away12 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | +2.32 |
| M20 | Eastleigh · Home19 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | +4.08 |
| M21 | Maidstone · Away26 Nov 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.31 | +2.78 |
| M22 | Dorking · Home3 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | +2.33 |
| M23 | Notts County · Home10 Dec 2022 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.56 | +1.77 |
| M24 | Wealdstone · Away26 Dec 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.29 | +0.48 |
| M25 | Wealdstone · Home1 Jan 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | −0.04 |
| M26 | Scunthorpe · Away7 Jan 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.33 | −1.37 |
| M27 | Altrincham · Away17 Jan 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.99 | −2.36 |
| M28 | York · Away28 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.81 | −0.55 |
| M29 | Bromley · Away4 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.65 |
| M30 | Southend · Home7 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −1.69 |
| M31 | Eastleigh · Away18 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −2.70 |
| M32 | Yeovil · Home21 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −1.36 |
| M33 | Halifax · Away25 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +0.41 |
| M34 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Home28 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +1.93 |
| M35 | Wrexham · Home4 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.31 | +2.24 |
| M36 | Boreham Wood · Home7 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | +1.07 |
| M37 | Woking · Away11 Mar 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.75 | +0.32 |
| M38 | Aldershot · Home14 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −0.16 |
| M39 | Maidstone · Home18 Mar 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.04 | +0.89 |
| M40 | Dorking · Away25 Mar 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.45 | −0.57 |
| M41 | Chesterfield · Home1 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.25 | −0.32 |
| M42 | Solihull · Away7 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.39 |
| M43 | Torquay · Home10 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.40 | −1.79 |
| M44 | Oldham · Away15 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −2.87 |
| M45 | Barnet · Home22 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −3.23 |
| M46 | Gateshead · Away29 Apr 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.74 | −3.97 |
| Total | 50 | −3.97 | |||