← National League 2022-23

Notts County

Season 2022-23 · 46 matches played

Last 5WLWWD

Points

107

Points expected by the market

97.78

Gap

+9.22

Yield

+0.9%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	30	73	70.67	+2.33	−7.3%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	13	32	22.97	+9.03	+43.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	3	2	4.13	−2.13	−100.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50	19	46	45.85	+0.15	−9.2%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	3	9	5.12	+3.88	+93.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	1	1	1.41	−0.41	−100.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50	11	27	24.83	+2.17	−4.2%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	10	23	17.85	+5.15	+28.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	2	1	2.72	−1.72	−100.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Maidenhead · Home6 Aug 2022	6 Aug 2022	W 3-0	1.38	2.21	3	+0.79	+0.79	+€0.38
M2	Boreham Wood · Away13 Aug 2022	13 Aug 2022	D 2-2	2.24	1.52	1	−0.52	+0.27	−€1.00
M3	Gateshead · Away16 Aug 2022	16 Aug 2022	D 1-1	2.07	1.61	1	−0.61	−0.34	−€1.00
M4	Chesterfield · Home20 Aug 2022	20 Aug 2022	D 2-2	2.46	1.41	1	−0.41	−0.74	−€1.00
M5	Halifax · Away27 Aug 2022	27 Aug 2022	W 4-1	1.98	1.68	3	+1.32	+0.58	+€0.98
M6	Solihull · Home29 Aug 2022	29 Aug 2022	W 1-0	2.00	1.64	3	+1.36	+1.94	+€1.00
M7	Dagenham & Redbridge · Away3 Sep 2022	3 Sep 2022	W 5-0	2.09	1.59	3	+1.41	+3.35	+€1.09
M8	Aldershot · Home13 Sep 2022	13 Sep 2022	W 2-0	1.19	2.48	3	+0.52	+3.87	+€0.19
M9	Dorking · Away17 Sep 2022	17 Sep 2022	L 1-3	1.50	2.06	0	−2.06	+1.81	−€1.00
M10	York · Away24 Sep 2022	24 Sep 2022	W 3-1	1.60	1.97	3	+1.03	+2.84	+€0.60
M11	Altrincham · Home1 Oct 2022	1 Oct 2022	W 3-1	1.33	2.27	3	+0.73	+3.57	+€0.33
M12	Wrexham · Home4 Oct 2022	4 Oct 2022	W 1-0	2.15	1.55	3	+1.45	+5.02	+€1.15
M13	Woking · Away8 Oct 2022	8 Oct 2022	W 3-2	1.93	1.69	3	+1.31	+6.33	+€0.93
M14	Maidstone · Home21 Oct 2022	21 Oct 2022	W 3-0	1.23	2.41	3	+0.59	+6.92	+€0.23
M15	Wealdstone · Away25 Oct 2022	25 Oct 2022	W 6-1	1.39	2.19	3	+0.81	+7.73	+€0.39
M16	Torquay · Home29 Oct 2022	29 Oct 2022	W 4-0	1.09	2.65	3	+0.35	+8.07	+€0.09
M17	Bromley · Home1 Nov 2022	1 Nov 2022	D 1-1	1.36	2.23	1	−1.23	+6.84	−€1.00
M18	Southend · Away8 Nov 2022	8 Nov 2022	D 2-2	1.93	1.70	1	−0.70	+6.14	−€1.00
M19	Eastleigh · Away12 Nov 2022	12 Nov 2022	W 2-0	1.55	2.00	3	+1.00	+7.14	+€0.55
M20	Yeovil · Home19 Nov 2022	19 Nov 2022	D 0-0	1.18	2.51	1	−1.51	+5.63	−€1.00
M21	Scunthorpe · Away3 Dec 2022	3 Dec 2022	W 4-1	1.22	2.44	3	+0.56	+6.19	+€0.22
M22	Maidenhead · Away10 Dec 2022	10 Dec 2022	W 4-3	1.36	2.24	3	+0.76	+6.95	+€0.36
M23	Gateshead · Home13 Dec 2022	13 Dec 2022	W 2-0	1.19	2.48	3	+0.52	+7.47	+€0.19
M24	Oldham · Home26 Dec 2022	26 Dec 2022	W 4-1	1.24	2.40	3	+0.60	+8.07	+€0.24
M25	Oldham · Away1 Jan 2023	1 Jan 2023	D 2-2	1.36	2.23	1	−1.23	+6.84	−€1.00
M26	Aldershot · Away7 Jan 2023	7 Jan 2023	W 3-0	1.36	2.23	3	+0.77	+7.61	+€0.36
M27	Boreham Wood · Home10 Jan 2023	10 Jan 2023	D 1-1	1.31	2.30	1	−1.30	+6.31	−€1.00
M28	Halifax · Home28 Jan 2023	28 Jan 2023	W 1-0	1.27	2.35	3	+0.65	+6.95	+€0.27
M29	Solihull · Away31 Jan 2023	31 Jan 2023	W 2-1	1.58	1.97	3	+1.03	+7.99	+€0.58
M30	Torquay · Away4 Feb 2023	4 Feb 2023	W 2-1	1.34	2.26	3	+0.74	+8.73	+€0.34
M31	Chesterfield · Away11 Feb 2023	11 Feb 2023	W 2-1	2.11	1.58	3	+1.42	+10.15	+€1.11
M32	Barnet · Home14 Feb 2023	14 Feb 2023	W 4-1	1.34	2.24	3	+0.76	+10.91	+€0.34
M33	Yeovil · Away18 Feb 2023	18 Feb 2023	W 4-1	1.40	2.18	3	+0.82	+11.72	+€0.40
M34	Southend · Home21 Feb 2023	21 Feb 2023	W 4-0	1.64	1.93	3	+1.07	+12.79	+€0.64
M35	Dagenham & Redbridge · Home25 Feb 2023	25 Feb 2023	L 1-2	1.25	2.38	0	−2.38	+10.41	−€1.00
M36	Bromley · Away4 Mar 2023	4 Mar 2023	D 1-1	1.49	2.07	1	−1.07	+9.34	−€1.00
M37	Dorking · Home11 Mar 2023	11 Mar 2023	W 3-1	1.12	2.59	3	+0.41	+9.75	+€0.12
M38	Eastleigh · Home14 Mar 2023	14 Mar 2023	W 3-1	1.22	2.42	3	+0.58	+10.32	+€0.22
M39	Barnet · Away18 Mar 2023	18 Mar 2023	D 1-1	1.45	2.11	1	−1.11	+9.21	−€1.00
M40	Scunthorpe · Home25 Mar 2023	25 Mar 2023	W 4-0	1.16	2.53	3	+0.47	+9.68	+€0.16
M41	Altrincham · Away28 Mar 2023	28 Mar 2023	W 2-0	1.37	2.22	3	+0.78	+10.46	+€0.37
M42	Wealdstone · Home7 Apr 2023	7 Apr 2023	W 3-0	1.12	2.61	3	+0.39	+10.86	+€0.12
M43	Wrexham · Away10 Apr 2023	10 Apr 2023	L 2-3	2.98	1.20	0	−1.20	+9.65	−€1.00
M44	Woking · Home15 Apr 2023	15 Apr 2023	W 3-0	1.38	2.21	3	+0.79	+10.44	+€0.38
M45	Maidstone · Away22 Apr 2023	22 Apr 2023	W 5-2	1.10	2.66	3	+0.34	+10.78	+€0.10
M46	York · Home29 Apr 2023	29 Apr 2023	D 1-1	1.14	2.56	1	−1.56	+9.22	−€1.00
Total					97.78	107	+9.22		+€0.43