Points
58Points expected by the market
69.38Gap
−11.38Yield
−39.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.20 | −26.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 24 | 43 | −0.13 | −11.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 9 | −6.22 | −57.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 2 | −4.82 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.11 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 29 | −1.94 | −19.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.75 | +188.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −2.56 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.91 | +48.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 14 | +1.81 | +8.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 6 | −7.97 | −79.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −2.26 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Aldershot · Away6 Aug 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +1.14 |
| M2 | Southend · Home13 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.92 | +0.22 |
| M3 | York · Home17 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.03 | −0.82 |
| M4 | Scunthorpe · Away20 Aug 2022 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.26 | +0.44 |
| M5 | Dorking · Home27 Aug 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +1.45 |
| M6 | Notts County · Away29 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | +0.34 |
| M7 | Altrincham · Home3 Sep 2022 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.09 | +1.43 |
| M8 | Torquay · Away13 Sep 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.91 | +2.34 |
| M9 | Barnet · Home17 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.11 | +1.23 |
| M10 | Woking · Away24 Sep 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −0.20 |
| M11 | Bromley · Home1 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.60 | −0.80 |
| M12 | Wealdstone · Home4 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.96 | +0.17 |
| M13 | Yeovil · Away8 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.64 | −1.47 |
| M14 | Eastleigh · Home22 Oct 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −0.15 |
| M15 | Maidenhead · Away25 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +1.27 |
| M16 | Gateshead · Away29 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.82 | +0.45 |
| M17 | Maidstone · Away1 Nov 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.86 | −0.40 |
| M18 | Halifax · Home8 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.90 | −2.30 |
| M19 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Home12 Nov 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.80 | −4.11 |
| M20 | Chesterfield · Away19 Nov 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −5.26 |
| M21 | Oldham · Home3 Dec 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.19 | −4.07 |
| M22 | Wrexham · Away26 Dec 2022 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.61 | −4.69 |
| M23 | Wrexham · Home2 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.81 | −5.50 |
| M24 | Southend · Away7 Jan 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.01 | −6.50 |
| M25 | Aldershot · Home17 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.67 | −8.18 |
| M26 | Dorking · Away28 Jan 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −6.86 |
| M27 | Notts County · Home31 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.81 | −7.67 |
| M28 | Gateshead · Home4 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.58 | −9.25 |
| M29 | York · Away7 Feb 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.50 | −7.75 |
| M30 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Away11 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | −9.14 |
| M31 | Boreham Wood · Away14 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | −9.27 |
| M32 | Chesterfield · Home18 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.01 | −9.28 |
| M33 | Halifax · Away21 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | −9.73 |
| M34 | Altrincham · Away25 Feb 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.14 | −10.87 |
| M35 | Maidstone · Home4 Mar 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.07 | −9.80 |
| M36 | Torquay · Home7 Mar 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.14 | −8.66 |
| M37 | Scunthorpe · Home14 Mar 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.21 | −7.45 |
| M38 | Boreham Wood · Home18 Mar 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.75 | −5.70 |
| M39 | Oldham · Away25 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | −6.01 |
| M40 | Bromley · Away1 Apr 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.22 | −7.23 |
| M41 | Maidenhead · Home7 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | −7.90 |
| M42 | Yeovil · Home15 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.76 | −8.66 |
| M43 | Barnet · Away18 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.80 | −9.46 |
| M44 | Eastleigh · Away22 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.15 | −9.30 |
| M45 | Wealdstone · Away25 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.14 | −10.45 |
| M46 | Woking · Home29 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | −11.38 |
| Total | 58 | −11.38 | |||