← National League 2022-23

Southend

Season 2022-23 · 46 matches played

Last 5DWLWW

Points

Points expected by the market

72.29

Gap

−3.29

Yield

−18.6%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	3	9	6.36	+2.64	+45.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	25	41	44.71	−3.71	−5.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	11	15	15.34	−0.34	−14.2%
Underdog 3.50 or more	7	4	5.88	−1.88	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	3	9	6.36	+2.64	+45.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	14	25	26.28	−1.28	−0.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	4	4	5.64	−1.64	−41.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	2	2	1.79	+0.21	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	11	16	18.43	−2.43	−11.8%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	7	11	9.70	+1.30	+1.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more	5	2	4.08	−2.08	−100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Boreham Wood · Home6 Aug 2022	6 Aug 2022	L 0-1	2.46	1.44	0	−1.44	−1.44	−€1.00
M2	Solihull · Away13 Aug 2022	13 Aug 2022	D 1-1	4.71	0.84	1	+0.16	−1.27	−€1.00
M3	Halifax · Away16 Aug 2022	16 Aug 2022	D 0-0	3.25	1.14	1	−0.14	−1.42	−€1.00
M4	Oldham · Home20 Aug 2022	20 Aug 2022	W 1-0	2.35	1.48	3	+1.52	+0.11	+€1.35
M5	Eastleigh · Away27 Aug 2022	27 Aug 2022	L 1-2	2.17	1.58	0	−1.58	−1.47	−€1.00
M6	Maidenhead · Home29 Aug 2022	29 Aug 2022	W 2-0	1.84	1.79	3	+1.21	−0.26	+€0.84
M7	Torquay · Home3 Sep 2022	3 Sep 2022	L 1-2	1.65	1.92	0	−1.92	−2.18	−€1.00
M8	Chesterfield · Away13 Sep 2022	13 Sep 2022	L 2-3	5.18	0.78	0	−0.78	−2.97	−€1.00
M9	Wrexham · Home17 Sep 2022	17 Sep 2022	D 0-0	5.21	0.77	1	+0.23	−2.73	−€1.00
M10	Wealdstone · Away24 Sep 2022	24 Sep 2022	W 1-0	2.29	1.50	3	+1.50	−1.23	+€1.29
M11	Yeovil · Home1 Oct 2022	1 Oct 2022	W 1-0	1.86	1.77	3	+1.23	+0.01	+€0.86
M12	Woking · Home4 Oct 2022	4 Oct 2022	D 1-1	2.35	1.47	1	−0.47	−0.47	−€1.00
M13	Dagenham & Redbridge · Away8 Oct 2022	8 Oct 2022	D 1-1	2.25	1.50	1	−0.50	−0.97	−€1.00
M14	Scunthorpe · Home22 Oct 2022	22 Oct 2022	W 3-0	1.70	1.88	3	+1.12	+0.15	+€0.70
M15	Maidstone · Away25 Oct 2022	25 Oct 2022	W 3-0	1.90	1.72	3	+1.28	+1.43	+€0.90
M16	York · Away29 Oct 2022	29 Oct 2022	W 2-0	2.27	1.51	3	+1.49	+2.92	+€1.27
M17	Barnet · Away1 Nov 2022	1 Nov 2022	W 3-0	2.04	1.62	3	+1.38	+4.30	+€1.04
M18	Notts County · Home8 Nov 2022	8 Nov 2022	D 2-2	3.64	1.03	1	−0.03	+4.27	−€1.00
M19	Dorking · Home12 Nov 2022	12 Nov 2022	W 2-0	1.49	2.07	3	+0.93	+5.20	+€0.49
M20	Gateshead · Away19 Nov 2022	19 Nov 2022	L 1-3	1.83	1.78	0	−1.78	+3.42	−€1.00
M21	Aldershot · Away26 Nov 2022	26 Nov 2022	L 0-2	1.75	1.83	0	−1.83	+1.59	−€1.00
M22	Altrincham · Home3 Dec 2022	3 Dec 2022	D 2-2	1.82	1.78	1	−0.78	+0.81	−€1.00
M23	Bromley · Home26 Dec 2022	26 Dec 2022	L 0-1	1.70	1.89	0	−1.89	−1.07	−€1.00
M24	Bromley · Away1 Jan 2023	1 Jan 2023	D 0-0	2.18	1.54	1	−0.54	−1.62	−€1.00
M25	Solihull · Home7 Jan 2023	7 Jan 2023	W 3-0	1.91	1.72	3	+1.28	−0.34	+€0.91
M26	Eastleigh · Home28 Jan 2023	28 Jan 2023	L 1-3	1.56	2.01	0	−2.01	−2.35	−€1.00
M27	York · Home4 Feb 2023	4 Feb 2023	W 2-0	1.50	2.07	3	+0.93	−1.42	+€0.50
M28	Maidenhead · Away7 Feb 2023	7 Feb 2023	W 2-1	1.98	1.68	3	+1.32	−0.10	+€0.98
M29	Halifax · Home14 Feb 2023	14 Feb 2023	W 2-1	1.64	1.95	3	+1.05	+0.95	+€0.64
M30	Gateshead · Home18 Feb 2023	18 Feb 2023	W 1-0	1.89	1.73	3	+1.27	+2.22	+€0.89
M31	Notts County · Away21 Feb 2023	21 Feb 2023	L 0-4	4.74	0.83	0	−0.83	+1.40	−€1.00
M32	Torquay · Away25 Feb 2023	25 Feb 2023	W 2-1	2.00	1.66	3	+1.34	+2.74	+€1.00
M33	Barnet · Home3 Mar 2023	3 Mar 2023	L 0-1	1.72	1.85	0	−1.85	+0.88	−€1.00
M34	Chesterfield · Home7 Mar 2023	7 Mar 2023	L 1-2	2.84	1.25	0	−1.25	−0.37	−€1.00
M35	Wrexham · Away11 Mar 2023	11 Mar 2023	L 0-1	6.65	0.63	0	−0.63	−1.00	−€1.00
M36	Boreham Wood · Away14 Mar 2023	14 Mar 2023	L 0-1	3.07	1.21	0	−1.21	−2.21	−€1.00
M37	Aldershot · Home18 Mar 2023	18 Mar 2023	L 1-2	1.62	1.96	0	−1.96	−4.17	−€1.00
M38	Altrincham · Away25 Mar 2023	25 Mar 2023	L 0-1	2.39	1.43	0	−1.43	−5.60	−€1.00
M39	Dorking · Away28 Mar 2023	28 Mar 2023	L 0-1	2.10	1.58	0	−1.58	−7.18	−€1.00
M40	Yeovil · Away1 Apr 2023	1 Apr 2023	W 2-0	2.53	1.40	3	+1.60	−5.58	+€1.53
M41	Maidstone · Home7 Apr 2023	7 Apr 2023	W 2-0	1.41	2.17	3	+0.83	−4.76	+€0.41
M42	Woking · Away10 Apr 2023	10 Apr 2023	D 1-1	3.78	1.01	1	−0.01	−4.76	−€1.00
M43	Dagenham & Redbridge · Home15 Apr 2023	15 Apr 2023	W 2-0	1.60	1.97	3	+1.03	−3.73	+€0.60
M44	Oldham · Away18 Apr 2023	18 Apr 2023	L 0-2	2.10	1.61	0	−1.61	−5.34	−€1.00
M45	Scunthorpe · Away22 Apr 2023	22 Apr 2023	W 3-1	1.78	1.83	3	+1.17	−4.17	+€0.78
M46	Wealdstone · Home29 Apr 2023	29 Apr 2023	W 2-1	1.45	2.12	3	+0.88	−3.29	+€0.45
Total					72.29	69	−3.29		−€8.57