← National League 2022-23

Torquay

Season 2022-23 · 46 matches played

Last 5WWLDD

Points

Points expected by the market

50.01

Gap

−2.01

Yield

−12.0%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	4	7	6.32	+0.68	+3.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	24	26	30.29	−4.29	−27.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	18	15	13.40	+1.60	+4.5%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	4	7	6.32	+0.68	+3.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	14	17	18.10	−1.10	−16.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more	5	1	3.87	−2.87	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	10	9	12.19	−3.19	−41.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more	13	14	9.53	+4.47	+44.7%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Oldham · Home6 Aug 2022	6 Aug 2022	D 0-0	2.29	1.48	1	−0.48	−0.48	−€1.00
M2	Halifax · Away13 Aug 2022	13 Aug 2022	W 1-0	3.11	1.18	3	+1.82	+1.34	+€2.11
M3	Bromley · Away16 Aug 2022	16 Aug 2022	L 0-1	3.45	1.08	0	−1.08	+0.26	−€1.00
M4	Boreham Wood · Home20 Aug 2022	20 Aug 2022	L 0-1	2.90	1.25	0	−1.25	−0.99	−€1.00
M5	Maidstone · Away27 Aug 2022	27 Aug 2022	L 0-1	2.87	1.25	0	−1.25	−2.23	−€1.00
M6	Woking · Home29 Aug 2022	29 Aug 2022	L 1-3	3.29	1.10	0	−1.10	−3.34	−€1.00
M7	Southend · Away3 Sep 2022	3 Sep 2022	W 2-1	4.67	0.84	3	+2.16	−1.17	+€3.67
M8	Solihull · Home13 Sep 2022	13 Sep 2022	L 1-4	5.81	0.69	0	−0.69	−1.87	−€1.00
M9	Wealdstone · Away17 Sep 2022	17 Sep 2022	D 1-1	3.18	1.14	1	−0.14	−2.01	−€1.00
M10	Wrexham · Away24 Sep 2022	24 Sep 2022	L 0-6	13.59	0.33	0	−0.33	−2.34	−€1.00
M11	Scunthorpe · Home1 Oct 2022	1 Oct 2022	D 1-1	2.30	1.48	1	−0.48	−2.82	−€1.00
M12	Maidenhead · Home4 Oct 2022	4 Oct 2022	L 2-3	3.13	1.16	0	−1.16	−3.98	−€1.00
M13	York · Away8 Oct 2022	8 Oct 2022	L 0-1	4.98	0.79	0	−0.79	−4.78	−€1.00
M14	Altrincham · Home22 Oct 2022	22 Oct 2022	D 4-4	2.93	1.22	1	−0.22	−5.00	−€1.00
M15	Eastleigh · Away25 Oct 2022	25 Oct 2022	L 0-1	6.08	0.67	0	−0.67	−5.67	−€1.00
M16	Notts County · Away29 Oct 2022	29 Oct 2022	L 0-4	18.72	0.25	0	−0.25	−5.92	−€1.00
M17	Aldershot · Home1 Nov 2022	1 Nov 2022	W 6-1	3.37	1.09	3	+1.91	−4.00	+€2.37
M18	Dorking · Home9 Nov 2022	9 Nov 2022	D 3-3	2.79	1.23	1	−0.23	−4.24	−€1.00
M19	Chesterfield · Home12 Nov 2022	12 Nov 2022	L 1-5	4.58	0.83	0	−0.83	−5.07	−€1.00
M20	Barnet · Away19 Nov 2022	19 Nov 2022	L 0-1	3.92	0.94	0	−0.94	−6.01	−€1.00
M21	Gateshead · Home26 Nov 2022	26 Nov 2022	D 1-1	2.31	1.46	1	−0.46	−6.47	−€1.00
M22	Dagenham & Redbridge · Away3 Dec 2022	3 Dec 2022	W 1-0	4.67	0.82	3	+2.18	−4.29	+€3.67
M23	Oldham · Away11 Dec 2022	11 Dec 2022	L 2-3	3.28	1.12	0	−1.12	−5.41	−€1.00
M24	Yeovil · Home26 Dec 2022	26 Dec 2022	D 1-1	2.18	1.56	1	−0.56	−5.96	−€1.00
M25	Yeovil · Away1 Jan 2023	1 Jan 2023	L 0-2	3.12	1.17	0	−1.17	−7.13	−€1.00
M26	Halifax · Home7 Jan 2023	7 Jan 2023	W 1-0	2.79	1.28	3	+1.72	−5.41	+€1.79
M27	Maidstone · Home28 Jan 2023	28 Jan 2023	W 1-0	2.04	1.61	3	+1.39	−4.03	+€1.04
M28	Woking · Away31 Jan 2023	31 Jan 2023	D 1-1	5.60	0.72	1	+0.28	−3.74	−€1.00
M29	Notts County · Home4 Feb 2023	4 Feb 2023	L 1-2	7.54	0.56	0	−0.56	−4.30	−€1.00
M30	Barnet · Home18 Feb 2023	18 Feb 2023	W 2-1	2.92	1.22	3	+1.78	−2.52	+€1.92
M31	Dorking · Away21 Feb 2023	21 Feb 2023	L 2-3	2.42	1.40	0	−1.40	−3.92	−€1.00
M32	Southend · Home25 Feb 2023	25 Feb 2023	L 1-2	3.51	1.06	0	−1.06	−4.99	−€1.00
M33	Bromley · Home28 Feb 2023	28 Feb 2023	L 1-2	2.69	1.31	0	−1.31	−6.29	−€1.00
M34	Aldershot · Away4 Mar 2023	4 Mar 2023	D 1-1	2.94	1.22	1	−0.22	−6.51	−€1.00
M35	Solihull · Away7 Mar 2023	7 Mar 2023	L 2-3	4.27	0.89	0	−0.89	−7.40	−€1.00
M36	Wealdstone · Home11 Mar 2023	11 Mar 2023	L 1-2	2.18	1.54	0	−1.54	−8.94	−€1.00
M37	Gateshead · Away18 Mar 2023	18 Mar 2023	D 1-1	4.17	0.90	1	+0.10	−8.84	−€1.00
M38	Dagenham & Redbridge · Home25 Mar 2023	25 Mar 2023	L 1-2	2.32	1.47	0	−1.47	−10.31	−€1.00
M39	Boreham Wood · Away28 Mar 2023	28 Mar 2023	W 1-0	5.86	0.71	3	+2.29	−8.02	+€4.86
M40	Scunthorpe · Away1 Apr 2023	1 Apr 2023	W 1-0	3.61	1.04	3	+1.96	−6.06	+€2.61
M41	Eastleigh · Home7 Apr 2023	7 Apr 2023	W 2-0	2.61	1.34	3	+1.66	−4.40	+€1.61
M42	Maidenhead · Away10 Apr 2023	10 Apr 2023	W 3-1	2.71	1.31	3	+1.69	−2.71	+€1.71
M43	York · Home15 Apr 2023	15 Apr 2023	W 3-2	2.11	1.61	3	+1.39	−1.32	+€1.11
M44	Chesterfield · Away18 Apr 2023	18 Apr 2023	L 1-5	6.31	0.64	0	−0.64	−1.95	−€1.00
M45	Altrincham · Away22 Apr 2023	22 Apr 2023	D 2-2	2.62	1.32	1	−0.32	−2.28	−€1.00
M46	Wrexham · Home29 Apr 2023	29 Apr 2023	D 1-1	5.25	0.73	1	+0.27	−2.01	−€1.00
Total					50.01	48	−2.01		−€5.53