Points
111Points expected by the market
99.30Gap
+11.70Yield
+2.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 32 | 83 | +9.40 | +5.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 25 | +3.48 | +1.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −1.18 | −26.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 20 | 60 | +12.09 | +25.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.06 | −17.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.48 | +122.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 12 | 23 | −2.69 | −28.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 21 | +3.42 | +6.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.65 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Eastleigh · Home6 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.50 | +0.50 |
| M2 | Yeovil · Away13 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.19 | −0.69 |
| M3 | Chesterfield · Away16 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.47 | −2.17 |
| M4 | Maidstone · Home20 Aug 2022 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.72 | −1.45 |
| M5 | Woking · Away27 Aug 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.20 | −0.24 |
| M6 | Gateshead · Home30 Aug 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.84 | +0.59 |
| M7 | Dorking · Away3 Sep 2022 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +1.57 |
| M8 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Home13 Sep 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.79 | +2.36 |
| M9 | Southend · Away17 Sep 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.00 | +1.36 |
| M10 | Torquay · Home24 Sep 2022 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.45 | +1.81 |
| M11 | Oldham · Away1 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.93 | +2.74 |
| M12 | Notts County · Away4 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | +1.56 |
| M13 | Barnet · Home8 Oct 2022 | W 7-5 | 3 | +0.56 | +2.12 |
| M14 | Boreham Wood · Away22 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.72 | +1.39 |
| M15 | Halifax · Home25 Oct 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.70 | +2.09 |
| M16 | Altrincham · Home29 Oct 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.69 | +2.78 |
| M17 | Maidenhead · Home1 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.47 | +3.26 |
| M18 | Scunthorpe · Away9 Nov 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.81 | +4.07 |
| M19 | Wealdstone · Away12 Nov 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.18 | +2.89 |
| M20 | Aldershot · Home19 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.54 | +3.42 |
| M21 | York · Away3 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.04 | +2.38 |
| M22 | Eastleigh · Away10 Dec 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +3.31 |
| M23 | Solihull · Home26 Dec 2022 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.82 | +4.13 |
| M24 | Solihull · Away2 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.04 | +5.17 |
| M25 | Bromley · Home10 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.61 | +5.78 |
| M26 | Maidstone · Away21 Jan 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.73 | +6.51 |
| M27 | Gateshead · Away24 Jan 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +7.45 |
| M28 | Altrincham · Away4 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.09 | +8.54 |
| M29 | Wealdstone · Home11 Feb 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.53 | +9.06 |
| M30 | Woking · Home14 Feb 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.02 | +8.04 |
| M31 | Aldershot · Away18 Feb 2023 | W 4-3 | 3 | +0.91 | +8.95 |
| M32 | Scunthorpe · Home21 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.46 | +9.41 |
| M33 | Dorking · Home25 Feb 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.38 | +9.80 |
| M34 | Chesterfield · Home28 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.09 | +10.88 |
| M35 | Maidenhead · Away4 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.09 | +9.80 |
| M36 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Away7 Mar 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.92 | +10.72 |
| M37 | Southend · Home11 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +11.57 |
| M38 | Bromley · Away18 Mar 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.87 | +12.44 |
| M39 | York · Home25 Mar 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.52 | +12.96 |
| M40 | Oldham · Home1 Apr 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.53 | +13.49 |
| M41 | Halifax · Away7 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.23 | +11.26 |
| M42 | Notts County · Home10 Apr 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.48 | +12.74 |
| M43 | Barnet · Away15 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.10 | +11.64 |
| M44 | Yeovil · Home18 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.37 | +12.01 |
| M45 | Boreham Wood · Home22 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.76 | +12.77 |
| M46 | Torquay · Away29 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.07 | +11.70 |
| Total | 111 | +11.70 | |||