Points
51Points expected by the market
57.47Gap
−6.47Yield
−14.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 14 | −3.00 | −25.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 24 | 23 | −8.30 | −31.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 14 | +4.84 | +30.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 14 | −1.41 | −17.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 12 | −2.84 | −26.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 2 | −0.56 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.60 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 11 | −5.46 | −35.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 12 | +5.40 | +73.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Woking · Home6 Aug 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +1.75 |
| M2 | Maidstone · Away13 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | +0.55 |
| M3 | Solihull · Away17 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.26 | +0.80 |
| M4 | Eastleigh · Home20 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.67 | −0.86 |
| M5 | Maidenhead · Away27 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +0.86 |
| M6 | Oldham · Home29 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | +0.48 |
| M7 | Yeovil · Away3 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +2.26 |
| M8 | Bromley · Home13 Sep 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +3.84 |
| M9 | Scunthorpe · Away17 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | +3.37 |
| M10 | Notts County · Home24 Sep 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.79 | +2.58 |
| M11 | Barnet · Away1 Oct 2022 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +4.24 |
| M12 | Halifax · Away4 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.45 | +2.79 |
| M13 | Torquay · Home8 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +3.82 |
| M14 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Home11 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | +3.16 |
| M15 | Aldershot · Away22 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.60 | +1.57 |
| M16 | Chesterfield · Home25 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | +1.50 |
| M17 | Southend · Home29 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.20 | +0.30 |
| M18 | Boreham Wood · Away8 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.34 |
| M19 | Altrincham · Away12 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −0.91 |
| M20 | Wealdstone · Home19 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.70 | −2.61 |
| M21 | Dorking · Away26 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | −3.89 |
| M22 | Wrexham · Home3 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.27 | −3.62 |
| M23 | Woking · Away10 Dec 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.10 | −1.52 |
| M24 | Gateshead · Home26 Dec 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.74 | −3.26 |
| M25 | Gateshead · Away2 Jan 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.15 | −3.41 |
| M26 | Maidstone · Home7 Jan 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.39 | −2.02 |
| M27 | Oldham · Away24 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −3.21 |
| M28 | Maidenhead · Home28 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −4.74 |
| M29 | Southend · Away4 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.70 | −5.44 |
| M30 | Solihull · Home7 Feb 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.23 | −6.67 |
| M31 | Wealdstone · Away18 Feb 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.30 | −7.97 |
| M32 | Boreham Wood · Home21 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −8.01 |
| M33 | Yeovil · Home25 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.27 | −6.75 |
| M34 | Eastleigh · Away28 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −7.79 |
| M35 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Away4 Mar 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −9.01 |
| M36 | Bromley · Away7 Mar 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.03 | −6.99 |
| M37 | Altrincham · Home14 Mar 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −8.50 |
| M38 | Dorking · Home18 Mar 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.26 | −7.24 |
| M39 | Wrexham · Away25 Mar 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.37 | −7.60 |
| M40 | Scunthorpe · Home28 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | −8.13 |
| M41 | Barnet · Home3 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −6.39 |
| M42 | Chesterfield · Away7 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.41 | −3.98 |
| M43 | Halifax · Home10 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.47 | −5.45 |
| M44 | Torquay · Away15 Apr 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.10 | −6.55 |
| M45 | Aldershot · Home22 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.60 | −7.15 |
| M46 | Notts County · Away29 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.68 | −6.47 |
| Total | 51 | −6.47 | |||