Points
86Points expected by the market
79.50Gap
+6.50Yield
+5.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 22 | +4.14 | +17.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 27 | 48 | +0.87 | −2.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 16 | +2.37 | +26.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.87 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 19 | +3.28 | +14.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 30 | +4.97 | +18.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.44 | +20.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.86 | +42.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 18 | −4.10 | −24.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 13 | +1.93 | +28.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.87 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hartlepool · Home5 Aug 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.40 | +1.40 |
| M2 | Bromley · Away12 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +3.04 |
| M3 | Eastleigh · Away15 Aug 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.38 | +2.66 |
| M4 | Woking · Home19 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +4.23 |
| M5 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Away26 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.65 | +2.58 |
| M6 | Ebbsfleet · Home28 Aug 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.34 | +3.92 |
| M7 | Boreham Wood · Away2 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +5.42 |
| M8 | Altrincham · Home9 Sep 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +6.62 |
| M9 | Rochdale · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.47 | +5.15 |
| M10 | Aldershot · Home19 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.97 | +6.11 |
| M11 | Halifax · Home23 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.89 | +5.23 |
| M12 | York · Away26 Sep 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.46 | +6.69 |
| M13 | Kidderminster · Away30 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +8.05 |
| M14 | Fylde · Home3 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.90 | +8.95 |
| M15 | Dorking · Away7 Oct 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.97 | +9.92 |
| M16 | Maidenhead · Home21 Oct 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.80 | +10.72 |
| M17 | Solihull · Home24 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.02 | +9.70 |
| M18 | Oxford City · Away28 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.86 | +10.56 |
| M19 | Chesterfield · Away11 Nov 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.87 | +9.69 |
| M20 | Gateshead · Home18 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.56 | +8.12 |
| M21 | Oldham · Home22 Nov 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.96 | +6.17 |
| M22 | Wealdstone · Away25 Nov 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.75 | +4.42 |
| M23 | Ebbsfleet · Away16 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | +3.63 |
| M24 | Boreham Wood · Home23 Dec 2023 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +5.03 |
| M25 | Southend · Away26 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +6.70 |
| M26 | Southend · Home30 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +8.14 |
| M27 | Altrincham · Away6 Jan 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.48 | +6.67 |
| M28 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Home9 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.27 | +7.94 |
| M29 | Oldham · Away23 Jan 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.33 | +6.61 |
| M30 | Gateshead · Away27 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | +5.07 |
| M31 | Wealdstone · Home3 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.08 | +3.99 |
| M32 | Fylde · Away17 Feb 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.45 | +5.44 |
| M33 | Aldershot · Away20 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.60 | +3.84 |
| M34 | York · Home24 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +4.86 |
| M35 | Chesterfield · Home27 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | +3.73 |
| M36 | Hartlepool · Away2 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +5.07 |
| M37 | Rochdale · Home5 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +6.10 |
| M38 | Woking · Away16 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.62 | +4.48 |
| M39 | Eastleigh · Home19 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.58 | +5.05 |
| M40 | Dorking · Home23 Mar 2024 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.82 | +5.87 |
| M41 | Solihull · Away29 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.87 | +5.01 |
| M42 | Oxford City · Home1 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.45 | +5.45 |
| M43 | Maidenhead · Away6 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.87 | +4.59 |
| M44 | Bromley · Home9 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | +3.91 |
| M45 | Halifax · Away13 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +5.68 |
| M46 | Kidderminster · Home20 Apr 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.82 | +6.50 |
| Total | 86 | +6.50 | |||