Points
52Points expected by the market
63.84Gap
−11.84Yield
−34.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.87 | +44.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 17 | −7.07 | −40.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 26 | −4.46 | −31.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 6 | −1.19 | −42.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.87 | +44.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 16 | −2.96 | −24.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 10 | −2.63 | −48.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.02 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 1 | −4.10 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 16 | −1.83 | −20.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 5 | −0.17 | −23.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Gateshead · Away5 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.02 |
| M2 | Halifax · Home12 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +1.38 |
| M3 | Solihull · Home16 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.68 | −0.30 |
| M4 | Altrincham · Away19 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.56 |
| M5 | Oldham · Home26 Aug 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | −0.93 |
| M6 | Oxford City · Away28 Aug 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.70 | −2.62 |
| M7 | Barnet · Home2 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | −3.85 |
| M8 | York · Away9 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.15 | −4.00 |
| M9 | Maidenhead · Away16 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | −2.52 |
| M10 | Rochdale · Home19 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −3.00 |
| M11 | Aldershot · Home23 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.77 | −4.77 |
| M12 | Fylde · Away26 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.24 | −5.01 |
| M13 | Ebbsfleet · Away30 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.42 | −6.43 |
| M14 | Hartlepool · Home4 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −4.88 |
| M15 | Chesterfield · Home7 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −5.85 |
| M16 | Wealdstone · Away21 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −6.05 |
| M17 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Away24 Oct 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.78 | −4.27 |
| M18 | Southend · Home28 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −4.32 |
| M19 | Bromley · Home11 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −4.80 |
| M20 | Dorking · Away18 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.81 | −6.61 |
| M21 | Eastleigh · Away21 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | −8.09 |
| M22 | Woking · Home25 Nov 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.41 | −6.68 |
| M23 | Oxford City · Home16 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.87 | −5.81 |
| M24 | Barnet · Away23 Dec 2023 | L 0-6 | 0 | −1.14 | −6.95 |
| M25 | Kidderminster · Home26 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | −7.60 |
| M26 | Kidderminster · Away30 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.71 | −5.89 |
| M27 | York · Home7 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | −6.68 |
| M28 | Bromley · Away20 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.10 | −6.58 |
| M29 | Eastleigh · Home24 Jan 2024 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.89 | −7.46 |
| M30 | Dorking · Home27 Jan 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −2.05 | −9.51 |
| M31 | Woking · Away3 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.15 | −7.37 |
| M32 | Maidenhead · Home10 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | −5.95 |
| M33 | Oldham · Away13 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −6.96 |
| M34 | Hartlepool · Away17 Feb 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.33 | −8.29 |
| M35 | Fylde · Home24 Feb 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.56 | −6.74 |
| M36 | Gateshead · Home2 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | −7.12 |
| M37 | Halifax · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −8.37 |
| M38 | Solihull · Away12 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −9.55 |
| M39 | Altrincham · Home16 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | −11.07 |
| M40 | Chesterfield · Away23 Mar 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.65 | −11.72 |
| M41 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Home29 Mar 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.29 | −13.01 |
| M42 | Southend · Away1 Apr 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.77 | −13.77 |
| M43 | Wealdstone · Home6 Apr 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.37 | −12.40 |
| M44 | Aldershot · Away13 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.86 | −10.55 |
| M45 | Rochdale · Away16 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.59 | −11.14 |
| M46 | Ebbsfleet · Home20 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.70 | −11.84 |
| Total | 52 | −11.84 | |||