Points
54Points expected by the market
59.68Gap
−5.68Yield
−24.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.15 | −26.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 15 | −1.98 | −6.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 24 | 27 | −3.16 | −22.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 9 | +0.61 | −46.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.15 | −26.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 12 | −1.54 | −6.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 17 | +2.50 | +16.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 2 | +0.06 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.44 | −5.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 10 | −5.66 | −56.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 7 | +0.55 | −32.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Rochdale · Away5 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +1.66 |
| M2 | Solihull · Home12 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.69 | −0.03 |
| M3 | Aldershot · Home15 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +1.28 |
| M4 | Gateshead · Away19 Aug 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.07 | +0.22 |
| M5 | Kidderminster · Home26 Aug 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +1.70 |
| M6 | Barnet · Away28 Aug 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.08 | +0.62 |
| M7 | York · Home2 Sep 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +2.01 |
| M8 | Wealdstone · Away9 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.42 | +0.58 |
| M9 | Chesterfield · Home16 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | −0.53 |
| M10 | Woking · Away19 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | −0.40 |
| M11 | Altrincham · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 1-6 | 0 | −1.02 | −1.41 |
| M12 | Dorking · Home26 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.77 | −3.18 |
| M13 | Boreham Wood · Home30 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.68 | −1.51 |
| M14 | Eastleigh · Away3 Oct 2023 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.19 | −2.70 |
| M15 | Halifax · Home7 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −4.06 |
| M16 | Fylde · Away21 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −4.22 |
| M17 | Southend · Away24 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.70 | −4.91 |
| M18 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Home28 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | −6.31 |
| M19 | Hartlepool · Away11 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.09 | −6.22 |
| M20 | Oxford City · Home18 Nov 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −2.06 | −8.28 |
| M21 | Maidenhead · Home21 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −8.74 |
| M22 | Oldham · Away25 Nov 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +2.27 | −6.48 |
| M23 | Kidderminster · Away2 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −7.64 |
| M24 | Barnet · Home16 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | −7.62 |
| M25 | York · Away23 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | −7.86 |
| M26 | Bromley · Home26 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −9.01 |
| M27 | Bromley · Away30 Dec 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.76 | −9.78 |
| M28 | Wealdstone · Home6 Jan 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −7.97 |
| M29 | Hartlepool · Home20 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.58 | −9.56 |
| M30 | Maidenhead · Away23 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | −7.73 |
| M31 | Oxford City · Away27 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.73 | −9.46 |
| M32 | Oldham · Home3 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.04 | −9.42 |
| M33 | Chesterfield · Away10 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.58 | −8.84 |
| M34 | Eastleigh · Home17 Feb 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.91 | −7.93 |
| M35 | Woking · Home20 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −6.44 |
| M36 | Dorking · Away24 Feb 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.29 | −5.16 |
| M37 | Rochdale · Home2 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.27 | −3.88 |
| M38 | Aldershot · Away12 Mar 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.09 | −4.97 |
| M39 | Gateshead · Home16 Mar 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.77 | −3.20 |
| M40 | Southend · Home29 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | −3.43 |
| M41 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Away1 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | −3.57 |
| M42 | Fylde · Home6 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.10 | −2.47 |
| M43 | Solihull · Away9 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.32 | −3.80 |
| M44 | Altrincham · Home13 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −5.36 |
| M45 | Halifax · Away16 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | −5.64 |
| M46 | Boreham Wood · Away20 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.04 | −5.68 |
| Total | 54 | −5.68 | |||