Points
75Points expected by the market
77.89Gap
−2.89Yield
+4.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 10 | 17 | −4.97 | −33.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 24 | 35 | −5.95 | −21.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 20 | +6.13 | +54.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.90 | +243.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 17 | −2.90 | −25.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 21 | −1.27 | −10.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.79 | +185.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.07 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 14 | −4.69 | −34.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 17 | +4.35 | +39.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.90 | +243.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Boreham Wood · Home5 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.74 | −0.74 |
| M2 | Hartlepool · Away12 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | −2.22 |
| M3 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Away15 Aug 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.34 | −0.89 |
| M4 | Ebbsfleet · Home19 Aug 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.31 | +0.42 |
| M5 | Woking · Home26 Aug 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.68 | −1.25 |
| M6 | Halifax · Away28 Aug 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | −1.79 |
| M7 | Oldham · Home2 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.71 | −2.50 |
| M8 | Eastleigh · Away9 Sep 2023 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.53 | −0.97 |
| M9 | Aldershot · Away16 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | −1.65 |
| M10 | Kidderminster · Home19 Sep 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.16 | −0.49 |
| M11 | Maidenhead · Home23 Sep 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.69 | +0.21 |
| M12 | Oxford City · Away26 Sep 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +1.19 |
| M13 | Bromley · Away30 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.80 | −0.60 |
| M14 | Wealdstone · Home3 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.84 | +0.24 |
| M15 | Altrincham · Home7 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.06 | −1.82 |
| M16 | Rochdale · Away24 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.64 | −2.46 |
| M17 | Fylde · Home28 Oct 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −2.11 | −4.57 |
| M18 | Dorking · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.77 | −3.80 |
| M19 | Barnet · Away18 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −1.99 |
| M20 | Solihull · Away21 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.21 | −0.78 |
| M21 | Southend · Home25 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | −1.49 |
| M22 | Halifax · Home16 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.97 | −3.46 |
| M23 | Oldham · Away23 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | −2.13 |
| M24 | York · Home26 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.32 | −3.45 |
| M25 | York · Away1 Jan 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.07 | −5.52 |
| M26 | Chesterfield · Away10 Jan 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.51 | −6.03 |
| M27 | Dorking · Away20 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.72 | −7.75 |
| M28 | Barnet · Home27 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | −5.96 |
| M29 | Southend · Away3 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.40 | −3.56 |
| M30 | Eastleigh · Home6 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.08 | −4.64 |
| M31 | Wealdstone · Away17 Feb 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.53 | −3.11 |
| M32 | Kidderminster · Away20 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.66 | −1.45 |
| M33 | Oxford City · Home24 Feb 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.51 | −0.94 |
| M34 | Woking · Away27 Feb 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.59 | −2.53 |
| M35 | Boreham Wood · Away2 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | −2.88 |
| M36 | Solihull · Home5 Mar 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.82 | −4.70 |
| M37 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Home12 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.29 | −3.41 |
| M38 | Ebbsfleet · Away16 Mar 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.52 | −4.93 |
| M39 | Altrincham · Away23 Mar 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.61 | −3.32 |
| M40 | Hartlepool · Home26 Mar 2024 | W 7-1 | 3 | +1.19 | −2.13 |
| M41 | Rochdale · Home29 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.85 | −1.28 |
| M42 | Fylde · Away11 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.60 | −2.87 |
| M43 | Maidenhead · Away13 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −4.30 |
| M44 | Chesterfield · Home15 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | −2.82 |
| M45 | Aldershot · Home17 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | −4.33 |
| M46 | Bromley · Home20 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | −2.89 |
| Total | 75 | −2.89 | |||