Points
102Points expected by the market
89.82Gap
+12.18Yield
+7.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 20 | 49 | +3.77 | −0.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 21 | 48 | +10.06 | +29.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −1.64 | −51.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 16 | 40 | +3.27 | −2.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 19 | +6.36 | +53.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 9 | +0.50 | +7.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 29 | +3.70 | +17.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −1.64 | −51.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Halifax · Away10 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.74 | −1.74 |
| M2 | Ebbsfleet · Away17 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.31 | −0.42 |
| M3 | Forest Green · Home20 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +0.84 |
| M4 | Southend · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +2.17 |
| M5 | Maidenhead · Away26 Aug 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.79 | +0.38 |
| M6 | Tamworth · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 7-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +1.13 |
| M7 | Gateshead · Away7 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −0.27 |
| M8 | Altrincham · Home10 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.96 | +0.70 |
| M9 | Braintree Town · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.74 | +1.44 |
| M10 | Wealdstone · Away21 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +2.50 |
| M11 | Aldershot · Away24 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +3.62 |
| M12 | Fylde · Home28 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.74 | +4.37 |
| M13 | Boston United · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.60 | +4.96 |
| M14 | Solihull · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.82 | +3.14 |
| M15 | York · Away22 Oct 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.36 | +1.78 |
| M16 | Rochdale · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.10 | +2.89 |
| M17 | Oldham · Home9 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.72 | +2.16 |
| M18 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Away16 Nov 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.45 | +3.61 |
| M19 | Woking · Home23 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.73 | +4.34 |
| M20 | Yeovil · Away27 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +5.58 |
| M21 | Hartlepool · Away30 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.27 | +5.31 |
| M22 | Ebbsfleet · Home14 Dec 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.46 | +5.77 |
| M23 | Halifax · Home21 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.12 | +4.65 |
| M24 | Sutton · Home26 Dec 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.10 | +3.55 |
| M25 | Eastleigh · Away1 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.86 | +2.70 |
| M26 | Forest Green · Away14 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.20 | +2.49 |
| M27 | Southend · Away18 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +4.08 |
| M28 | Maidenhead · Home25 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +4.79 |
| M29 | Hartlepool · Home28 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.00 | +5.79 |
| M30 | Tamworth · Away1 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +6.80 |
| M31 | Boston United · Away8 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.06 | +5.74 |
| M32 | Solihull · Home15 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.89 | +6.63 |
| M33 | York · Home18 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.42 | +8.05 |
| M34 | Rochdale · Away22 Feb 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +9.43 |
| M35 | Oldham · Away1 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +10.82 |
| M36 | Yeovil · Home4 Mar 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +11.53 |
| M37 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Home8 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.57 | +12.10 |
| M38 | Woking · Away15 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.89 | +12.98 |
| M39 | Altrincham · Away22 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.00 | +13.98 |
| M40 | Gateshead · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.74 | +14.72 |
| M41 | Braintree Town · Away5 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.09 | +12.63 |
| M42 | Wealdstone · Home12 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.33 | +11.30 |
| M43 | Eastleigh · Home18 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.41 | +9.89 |
| M44 | Sutton · Away21 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.88 | +10.77 |
| M45 | Aldershot · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.59 | +11.36 |
| M46 | Fylde · Away5 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.82 | +12.18 |
| Total | 102 | +12.18 | |||