Points
52Points expected by the market
60.80Gap
−8.80Yield
−34.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.89 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 17 | −5.30 | −45.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 24 | −3.03 | −21.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 8 | −1.36 | −55.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.89 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 11 | −2.75 | −32.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 18 | +2.31 | +14.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.03 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 6 | −2.55 | −66.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 6 | −5.34 | −70.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 7 | −0.33 | −45.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Wealdstone · Home10 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.27 | +1.27 |
| M2 | Rochdale · Away17 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | +1.16 |
| M3 | Woking · Away20 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | −0.15 |
| M4 | Halifax · Home23 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −0.67 |
| M5 | Southend · Away26 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.09 | −0.58 |
| M6 | York · Home31 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −1.95 |
| M7 | Maidenhead · Away7 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | −2.17 |
| M8 | Sutton · Home10 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.67 | −0.51 |
| M9 | Gateshead · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 7-1 | 3 | +1.87 | +1.37 |
| M10 | Hartlepool · Away21 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +3.08 |
| M11 | Altrincham · Away24 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | +1.71 |
| M12 | Solihull · Home28 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | +1.00 |
| M13 | Yeovil · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.57 | −0.57 |
| M14 | Fylde · Home19 Oct 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.89 | +0.33 |
| M15 | Eastleigh · Home22 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.79 | −0.46 |
| M16 | Oldham · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.00 | −1.46 |
| M17 | Boston United · Away9 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | −2.08 |
| M18 | Barnet · Home16 Nov 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.20 | −3.28 |
| M19 | Tamworth · Away23 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −4.68 |
| M20 | Aldershot · Home26 Nov 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.33 | −3.36 |
| M21 | Rochdale · Home14 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.79 | −1.57 |
| M22 | Wealdstone · Away21 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.27 | −2.84 |
| M23 | Braintree Town · Home26 Dec 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.70 | −4.54 |
| M24 | Ebbsfleet · Away1 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.09 | −3.45 |
| M25 | Forest Green · Away8 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.32 | −3.13 |
| M26 | Southend · Home25 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −4.36 |
| M27 | York · Away1 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.65 | −5.01 |
| M28 | Forest Green · Home4 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −6.07 |
| M29 | Yeovil · Home8 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −6.55 |
| M30 | Woking · Home11 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.60 | −8.14 |
| M31 | Fylde · Away15 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | −8.67 |
| M32 | Eastleigh · Away19 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.18 | −9.85 |
| M33 | Oldham · Home22 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.03 | −9.82 |
| M34 | Boston United · Home1 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.59 | −11.40 |
| M35 | Aldershot · Away4 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.03 | −11.38 |
| M36 | Barnet · Away8 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.40 | −11.78 |
| M37 | Tamworth · Home15 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.23 | −13.01 |
| M38 | Halifax · Away18 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.20 | −10.82 |
| M39 | Sutton · Away22 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | −10.77 |
| M40 | Maidenhead · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −9.30 |
| M41 | Gateshead · Away5 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −10.26 |
| M42 | Hartlepool · Home12 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | −10.43 |
| M43 | Ebbsfleet · Home18 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.03 | −9.40 |
| M44 | Braintree Town · Away21 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.20 | −9.60 |
| M45 | Altrincham · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 6-1 | 3 | +1.72 | −7.88 |
| M46 | Solihull · Away5 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.92 | −8.80 |
| Total | 52 | −8.80 | |||