Points
22Points expected by the market
39.75Gap
−17.75Yield
−79.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 10 | −3.68 | −46.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 35 | 12 | −14.07 | −89.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 9 | −2.30 | −34.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 7 | −4.83 | −73.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.39 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 21 | 5 | −9.24 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Gateshead · Away10 Aug 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.99 | −0.99 |
| M2 | Barnet · Home17 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −2.05 |
| M3 | Yeovil · Away20 Aug 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.93 | −2.98 |
| M4 | Woking · Home24 Aug 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.45 | −4.43 |
| M5 | Braintree Town · Away26 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | −4.59 |
| M6 | Halifax · Home31 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | −5.92 |
| M7 | Altrincham · Away7 Sep 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.02 | −6.93 |
| M8 | Aldershot · Home10 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | −7.10 |
| M9 | Hartlepool · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −5.30 |
| M10 | Sutton · Away21 Sep 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.87 | −6.17 |
| M11 | Maidenhead · Away24 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −7.39 |
| M12 | Oldham · Home28 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −8.38 |
| M13 | Rochdale · Home5 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.02 | −8.40 |
| M14 | York · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.49 | −8.89 |
| M15 | Forest Green · Away22 Oct 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.51 | −9.40 |
| M16 | Wealdstone · Home26 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | −9.73 |
| M17 | Tamworth · Away9 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.08 | −9.65 |
| M18 | Solihull · Home16 Nov 2024 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.77 | −10.42 |
| M19 | Eastleigh · Home27 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | −11.65 |
| M20 | Boston United · Home30 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | −11.95 |
| M21 | Fylde · Away10 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −12.73 |
| M22 | Barnet · Away14 Dec 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.33 | −13.05 |
| M23 | Gateshead · Home21 Dec 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.65 | −13.71 |
| M24 | Southend · Away26 Dec 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.60 | −14.31 |
| M25 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Home1 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −15.16 |
| M26 | Boston United · Away11 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.28 | −14.88 |
| M27 | Yeovil · Home14 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | −14.72 |
| M28 | Woking · Away18 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.46 | −14.26 |
| M29 | Braintree Town · Home25 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.00 | −15.26 |
| M30 | Halifax · Away1 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.55 | −15.81 |
| M31 | Rochdale · Away8 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.58 | −15.23 |
| M32 | York · Home15 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.63 | −15.86 |
| M33 | Forest Green · Home18 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.31 | −15.55 |
| M34 | Wealdstone · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.92 | −16.47 |
| M35 | Tamworth · Home1 Mar 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −17.54 |
| M36 | Eastleigh · Away4 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −18.29 |
| M37 | Solihull · Away8 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.59 | −18.88 |
| M38 | Fylde · Home15 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −17.12 |
| M39 | Aldershot · Away22 Mar 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.50 | −16.62 |
| M40 | Altrincham · Home29 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.14 | −16.48 |
| M41 | Hartlepool · Away5 Apr 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.52 | −17.01 |
| M42 | Sutton · Home12 Apr 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +2.02 | −14.99 |
| M43 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Away18 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.80 | −15.79 |
| M44 | Southend · Home21 Apr 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.74 | −16.53 |
| M45 | Maidenhead · Home26 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.74 | −17.26 |
| M46 | Oldham · Away5 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.49 | −17.75 |
| Total | 22 | −17.75 | |||