← National League 2024-25

Fylde

Season 2024-25 · 46 matches played

Last 5LLDLL

Points

Points expected by the market

48.09

Gap

−8.09

Yield

−10.2%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	4	5	6.80	−1.80	−61.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	18	17	22.45	−5.45	−23.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more	24	18	18.84	−0.84	+7.9%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	4	5	6.80	−1.80	−61.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	12	14	15.08	−1.08	−6.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more	7	9	6.23	+2.77	+68.4%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	6	3	7.37	−4.37	−55.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more	17	9	12.61	−3.61	−17.1%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Solihull · Home10 Aug 2024	10 Aug 2024	W 3-2	2.77	1.27	3	+1.73	+1.73	+€1.77
M2	Eastleigh · Away17 Aug 2024	17 Aug 2024	L 2-4	2.80	1.26	0	−1.26	+0.47	−€1.00
M3	Oldham · Away20 Aug 2024	20 Aug 2024	D 1-1	3.65	1.01	1	−0.01	+0.46	−€1.00
M4	Maidenhead · Home24 Aug 2024	24 Aug 2024	D 0-0	1.94	1.68	1	−0.68	−0.23	−€1.00
M5	Wealdstone · Away26 Aug 2024	26 Aug 2024	L 0-1	3.34	1.08	0	−1.08	−1.31	−€1.00
M6	Yeovil · Home7 Sep 2024	7 Sep 2024	L 3-4	2.43	1.40	0	−1.40	−2.71	−€1.00
M7	Forest Green · Away10 Sep 2024	10 Sep 2024	L 0-3	5.87	0.68	0	−0.68	−3.39	−€1.00
M8	York · Away14 Sep 2024	14 Sep 2024	L 0-3	6.10	0.66	0	−0.66	−4.06	−€1.00
M9	Southend · Home17 Sep 2024	17 Sep 2024	W 2-1	3.23	1.13	3	+1.87	−2.18	+€2.23
M10	Woking · Home21 Sep 2024	21 Sep 2024	D 1-1	2.43	1.40	1	−0.40	−2.58	−€1.00
M11	Tamworth · Home24 Sep 2024	24 Sep 2024	L 1-2	2.19	1.53	0	−1.53	−4.11	−€1.00
M12	Barnet · Away28 Sep 2024	28 Sep 2024	L 0-2	7.04	0.57	0	−0.57	−4.68	−€1.00
M13	Aldershot · Home5 Oct 2024	5 Oct 2024	W 5-2	2.57	1.34	3	+1.66	−3.02	+€1.57
M14	Dagenham & Redbridge · Away19 Oct 2024	19 Oct 2024	L 0-4	5.85	0.68	0	−0.68	−3.70	−€1.00
M15	Boston United · Away23 Oct 2024	23 Oct 2024	W 2-1	2.66	1.31	3	+1.69	−2.01	+€1.66
M16	Altrincham · Home26 Oct 2024	26 Oct 2024	L 0-5	3.15	1.13	0	−1.13	−3.14	−€1.00
M17	Gateshead · Home9 Nov 2024	9 Nov 2024	W 3-0	3.90	0.95	3	+2.05	−1.10	+€2.90
M18	Braintree Town · Away16 Nov 2024	16 Nov 2024	L 0-1	3.37	1.09	0	−1.09	−2.19	−€1.00
M19	Hartlepool · Away26 Nov 2024	26 Nov 2024	L 0-2	4.91	0.78	0	−0.78	−2.97	−€1.00
M20	Sutton · Away30 Nov 2024	30 Nov 2024	L 0-2	5.45	0.73	0	−0.73	−3.70	−€1.00
M21	Ebbsfleet · Home10 Dec 2024	10 Dec 2024	W 2-0	1.56	2.00	3	+1.00	−2.70	+€0.56
M22	Eastleigh · Home14 Dec 2024	14 Dec 2024	D 2-2	2.10	1.58	1	−0.58	−3.29	−€1.00
M23	Solihull · Away21 Dec 2024	21 Dec 2024	L 1-4	4.85	0.80	0	−0.80	−4.08	−€1.00
M24	Rochdale · Home26 Dec 2024	26 Dec 2024	L 1-3	3.47	1.05	0	−1.05	−5.14	−€1.00
M25	Maidenhead · Away18 Jan 2025	18 Jan 2025	L 1-4	3.17	1.14	0	−1.14	−6.27	−€1.00
M26	Wealdstone · Home25 Jan 2025	25 Jan 2025	W 2-0	2.62	1.31	3	+1.69	−4.59	+€1.62
M27	Southend · Away28 Jan 2025	28 Jan 2025	L 0-2	5.61	0.71	0	−0.71	−5.30	−€1.00
M28	Oldham · Home1 Feb 2025	1 Feb 2025	L 1-2	4.48	0.86	0	−0.86	−6.15	−€1.00
M29	Halifax · Away4 Feb 2025	4 Feb 2025	W 2-1	6.60	0.63	3	+2.37	−3.79	+€5.60
M30	Dagenham & Redbridge · Home15 Feb 2025	15 Feb 2025	D 1-1	2.90	1.21	1	−0.21	−4.00	−€1.00
M31	Boston United · Home18 Feb 2025	18 Feb 2025	L 1-2	2.61	1.33	0	−1.33	−5.33	−€1.00
M32	Altrincham · Away22 Feb 2025	22 Feb 2025	W 2-1	7.50	0.55	3	+2.45	−2.88	+€6.50
M33	Gateshead · Away1 Mar 2025	1 Mar 2025	D 1-1	6.38	0.62	1	+0.38	−2.50	−€1.00
M34	Hartlepool · Home4 Mar 2025	4 Mar 2025	W 2-1	3.75	0.98	3	+2.02	−0.48	+€2.75
M35	Braintree Town · Home8 Mar 2025	8 Mar 2025	L 0-2	2.66	1.32	0	−1.32	−1.80	−€1.00
M36	Ebbsfleet · Away15 Mar 2025	15 Mar 2025	L 0-1	2.26	1.49	0	−1.49	−3.30	−€1.00
M37	Sutton · Home18 Mar 2025	18 Mar 2025	L 1-2	3.55	1.03	0	−1.03	−4.33	−€1.00
M38	Forest Green · Home22 Mar 2025	22 Mar 2025	W 3-0	4.14	0.92	3	+2.08	−2.25	+€3.14
M39	Yeovil · Away29 Mar 2025	29 Mar 2025	L 0-1	3.61	1.06	0	−1.06	−3.31	−€1.00
M40	Aldershot · Away1 Apr 2025	1 Apr 2025	L 0-2	4.25	0.90	0	−0.90	−4.21	−€1.00
M41	York · Home5 Apr 2025	5 Apr 2025	L 1-3	4.50	0.84	0	−0.84	−5.05	−€1.00
M42	Woking · Away12 Apr 2025	12 Apr 2025	L 0-1	4.32	0.89	0	−0.89	−5.94	−€1.00
M43	Halifax · Home18 Apr 2025	18 Apr 2025	L 0-1	3.07	1.19	0	−1.19	−7.13	−€1.00
M44	Rochdale · Away21 Apr 2025	21 Apr 2025	D 0-0	7.19	0.57	1	+0.43	−6.70	−€1.00
M45	Tamworth · Away26 Apr 2025	26 Apr 2025	L 3-4	5.19	0.75	0	−0.75	−7.45	−€1.00
M46	Barnet · Home5 May 2025	5 May 2025	L 0-3	6.06	0.64	0	−0.64	−8.09	−€1.00
Total					48.09	40	−8.09		−€4.70