Points
67Points expected by the market
73.71Gap
−6.71Yield
−19.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 11 | −1.99 | −31.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 33 | −0.27 | −6.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 23 | −3.90 | −24.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.55 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 8 | −2.83 | −45.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 24 | +4.00 | +27.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 5 | −4.50 | −64.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.84 | +41.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 9 | −4.27 | −51.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 18 | +0.59 | −3.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.55 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Ebbsfleet · Home10 Aug 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +1.25 |
| M2 | Woking · Away17 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +2.56 |
| M3 | Halifax · Away20 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | +1.98 |
| M4 | Yeovil · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.03 | +3.01 |
| M5 | Oldham · Away26 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | +2.63 |
| M6 | Eastleigh · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.04 | +3.67 |
| M7 | Barnet · Home7 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +5.32 |
| M8 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 1-7 | 0 | −1.61 | +3.71 |
| M9 | Forest Green · Home21 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.50 | +2.21 |
| M10 | Boston United · Home24 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.77 | +2.98 |
| M11 | Southend · Away28 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +4.51 |
| M12 | Wealdstone · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.76 | +5.27 |
| M13 | Tamworth · Away8 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.67 | +3.61 |
| M14 | Altrincham · Away19 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | +3.15 |
| M15 | Sutton · Away23 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +4.68 |
| M16 | Solihull · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +6.01 |
| M17 | Fylde · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.80 | +4.21 |
| M18 | Aldershot · Home16 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.11 | +3.11 |
| M19 | Maidenhead · Away23 Nov 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +4.41 |
| M20 | Rochdale · Home26 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | +2.88 |
| M21 | Braintree Town · Away30 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.66 | +2.22 |
| M22 | Woking · Home14 Dec 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +3.18 |
| M23 | Ebbsfleet · Away21 Dec 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.84 | +4.02 |
| M24 | Hartlepool · Home26 Dec 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.26 | +5.29 |
| M25 | York · Away1 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | +4.24 |
| M26 | Halifax · Home14 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.76 | +2.49 |
| M27 | Yeovil · Away17 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | +2.10 |
| M28 | Oldham · Home25 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | +1.85 |
| M29 | Wealdstone · Away8 Feb 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +3.36 |
| M30 | Altrincham · Home15 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.54 | +1.81 |
| M31 | Sutton · Home18 Feb 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.24 | +3.06 |
| M32 | Solihull · Away22 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.57 | +4.63 |
| M33 | Eastleigh · Away25 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | +4.05 |
| M34 | Fylde · Home1 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.19 | +2.86 |
| M35 | Rochdale · Away4 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | +1.64 |
| M36 | Aldershot · Away8 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.40 | +0.25 |
| M37 | Maidenhead · Home15 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.07 | −1.83 |
| M38 | Braintree Town · Home18 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.02 | −3.85 |
| M39 | Tamworth · Home22 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.45 | −5.30 |
| M40 | Barnet · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.55 | −5.85 |
| M41 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Home5 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.21 | −4.64 |
| M42 | Forest Green · Away12 Apr 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.90 | −2.74 |
| M43 | York · Home18 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.22 | −3.95 |
| M44 | Hartlepool · Away21 Apr 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.31 | −5.26 |
| M45 | Boston United · Away26 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −6.52 |
| M46 | Southend · Home5 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | −6.71 |
| Total | 67 | −6.71 | |||