Points
52Points expected by the market
52.56Gap
−0.56Yield
+2.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | +0.59 | −13.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 20 | −6.26 | −33.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 21 | +5.12 | +47.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.37 | −26.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 12 | −3.53 | −33.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 8 | +1.98 | +27.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.95 | +52.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 8 | −2.74 | −33.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 13 | +3.13 | +57.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Eastleigh · Home10 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.56 | −1.56 |
| M2 | Solihull · Away17 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −2.45 |
| M3 | Altrincham · Home20 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | −3.83 |
| M4 | Fylde · Away24 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.06 | −3.89 |
| M5 | Barnet · Home26 Aug 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.03 | −1.86 |
| M6 | Aldershot · Away31 Aug 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.22 | −3.08 |
| M7 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Home7 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −3.60 |
| M8 | Rochdale · Away10 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.83 | −4.43 |
| M9 | Tamworth · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.30 | −5.73 |
| M10 | Halifax · Home21 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | −6.86 |
| M11 | Ebbsfleet · Home24 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | −5.36 |
| M12 | Boston United · Away28 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.74 | −3.62 |
| M13 | Southend · Away5 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.13 | −1.48 |
| M14 | Hartlepool · Home19 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −1.96 |
| M15 | Oldham · Home22 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | −2.15 |
| M16 | Yeovil · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.17 | −3.32 |
| M17 | Forest Green · Home9 Nov 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.17 | −4.49 |
| M18 | Sutton · Away16 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | −5.48 |
| M19 | Gateshead · Home23 Nov 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.04 | −6.53 |
| M20 | Braintree Town · Away26 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.12 | −4.41 |
| M21 | York · Away30 Nov 2024 | L 2-6 | 0 | −0.54 | −4.95 |
| M22 | Solihull · Home14 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −5.01 |
| M23 | Eastleigh · Away21 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | −5.88 |
| M24 | Wealdstone · Home26 Dec 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.66 | −4.22 |
| M25 | Woking · Away1 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.12 | −5.34 |
| M26 | Altrincham · Away14 Jan 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.81 | −6.15 |
| M27 | Fylde · Home18 Jan 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.40 | −4.75 |
| M28 | Barnet · Away25 Jan 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.52 | −5.28 |
| M29 | Southend · Home8 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.99 | −3.29 |
| M30 | Hartlepool · Away15 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.31 | −2.98 |
| M31 | Oldham · Away18 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.30 | −0.68 |
| M32 | Yeovil · Home22 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −2.12 |
| M33 | York · Home25 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.92 | −3.04 |
| M34 | Forest Green · Away1 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.55 | −3.59 |
| M35 | Braintree Town · Home4 Mar 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.33 | −3.93 |
| M36 | Sutton · Home8 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −5.07 |
| M37 | Gateshead · Away15 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.29 | −2.79 |
| M38 | Aldershot · Home18 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | −4.04 |
| M39 | Rochdale · Home22 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −4.05 |
| M40 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | −5.24 |
| M41 | Tamworth · Home5 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.83 | −3.41 |
| M42 | Halifax · Away12 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.84 | −1.56 |
| M43 | Woking · Home18 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.71 | −2.27 |
| M44 | Wealdstone · Away21 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −2.54 |
| M45 | Ebbsfleet · Away26 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.95 | −1.58 |
| M46 | Boston United · Home5 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.02 | −0.56 |
| Total | 52 | −0.56 | |||