Points
60Points expected by the market
64.80Gap
−4.80Yield
−17.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.12 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 27 | +0.79 | −12.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 25 | −5.50 | −30.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 8 | +2.04 | +27.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.12 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 21 | −0.14 | −24.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 8 | −4.30 | −42.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.66 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 6 | +0.93 | +34.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 17 | −1.20 | −22.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 8 | +2.70 | +48.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Tamworth · Away10 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | −0.51 |
| M2 | Altrincham · Home17 Aug 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +0.95 |
| M3 | Wealdstone · Away20 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +2.50 |
| M4 | York · Home24 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.43 | +2.07 |
| M5 | Eastleigh · Away26 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | +1.76 |
| M6 | Forest Green · Home31 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | +0.32 |
| M7 | Boston United · Home7 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −2.12 | −1.80 |
| M8 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Away10 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.38 | −3.18 |
| M9 | Southend · Away14 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.98 | −1.20 |
| M10 | Ebbsfleet · Home21 Sep 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.10 | −0.10 |
| M11 | Yeovil · Home24 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.63 | −0.73 |
| M12 | Woking · Away28 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +0.89 |
| M13 | Hartlepool · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.36 | −0.46 |
| M14 | Oldham · Home19 Oct 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.39 | −1.86 |
| M15 | Gateshead · Home23 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | −3.13 |
| M16 | Braintree Town · Away26 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −1.31 |
| M17 | Rochdale · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −2.43 |
| M18 | Maidenhead · Home16 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.24 | −1.18 |
| M19 | Solihull · Home26 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +0.36 |
| M20 | Fylde · Home30 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +1.31 |
| M21 | Halifax · Away10 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | +0.93 |
| M22 | Altrincham · Away14 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | −0.26 |
| M23 | Tamworth · Home21 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.98 | −2.24 |
| M24 | Barnet · Away26 Dec 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.32 | −1.92 |
| M25 | Aldershot · Home1 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | −2.65 |
| M26 | Wealdstone · Home15 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.68 | −3.33 |
| M27 | York · Away18 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.25 | −1.08 |
| M28 | Eastleigh · Home25 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +0.21 |
| M29 | Hartlepool · Home8 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −1.22 |
| M30 | Oldham · Away15 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.12 | −1.10 |
| M31 | Gateshead · Away18 Feb 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.99 | −2.09 |
| M32 | Braintree Town · Home22 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | −2.80 |
| M33 | Solihull · Away4 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | −3.10 |
| M34 | Maidenhead · Away8 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | −1.68 |
| M35 | Forest Green · Away11 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −2.65 |
| M36 | Halifax · Home15 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.53 | −4.18 |
| M37 | Fylde · Away18 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.29 | −2.89 |
| M38 | Dagenham & Redbridge · Home22 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | −3.66 |
| M39 | Boston United · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −4.89 |
| M40 | Southend · Home5 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −5.00 |
| M41 | Rochdale · Home8 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −3.24 |
| M42 | Ebbsfleet · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.78 | −5.01 |
| M43 | Aldershot · Away18 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | −5.19 |
| M44 | Barnet · Home21 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.66 | −5.85 |
| M45 | Yeovil · Away26 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | −4.10 |
| M46 | Woking · Home5 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | −4.80 |
| Total | 60 | −4.80 | |||