Points
46Points expected by the market
58.13Gap
−12.13Yield
−31.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 14 | −4.84 | −34.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 32 | +2.02 | +6.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 0 | −9.32 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 11 | −6.01 | −45.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 10 | −1.00 | −3.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 0 | −4.60 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.17 | +71.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 22 | +3.02 | +11.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 0 | −4.71 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Altrincham · Away9 Aug 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.05 | −1.05 |
| M2 | Boston United · Home16 Aug 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.53 | −2.58 |
| M3 | Eastleigh · Home20 Aug 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.48 | −4.07 |
| M4 | Solihull · Away23 Aug 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.84 | −2.22 |
| M5 | Morecambe · Home25 Aug 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.08 | −1.14 |
| M6 | Gateshead · Away30 Aug 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.31 | −1.46 |
| M7 | Truro · Away3 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | −1.91 |
| M8 | Brackley Town · Home6 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.42 | −2.33 |
| M9 | Carlisle · Away13 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.72 | −3.05 |
| M10 | Hartlepool · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | −1.30 |
| M11 | Yeovil · Home24 Sep 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.67 | −2.97 |
| M12 | Halifax · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.08 | −4.05 |
| M13 | Braintree Town · Home30 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | −4.83 |
| M14 | Southend · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.63 | −5.46 |
| M15 | Tamworth · Home18 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −6.82 |
| M16 | Scunthorpe · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.81 | −7.62 |
| M17 | Boreham Wood · Away4 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.66 | −8.29 |
| M18 | Forest Green · Home8 Nov 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.91 | −9.20 |
| M19 | Rochdale · Away15 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.47 | −9.67 |
| M20 | Woking · Home22 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −11.08 |
| M21 | York · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.43 | −11.51 |
| M22 | Altrincham · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | −9.91 |
| M23 | Boston United · Away20 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.82 | −8.09 |
| M24 | Sutton · Away26 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.13 | −8.23 |
| M25 | Wealdstone · Home30 Dec 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.28 | −6.95 |
| M26 | Solihull · Home10 Jan 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.60 | −8.55 |
| M27 | Eastleigh · Away17 Jan 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.72 | −6.83 |
| M28 | Hartlepool · Away31 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.91 | −4.92 |
| M29 | Halifax · Home7 Feb 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.38 | −3.53 |
| M30 | Tamworth · Away14 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −4.00 |
| M31 | Yeovil · Away17 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.57 | −2.44 |
| M32 | Scunthorpe · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.68 | −0.76 |
| M33 | Braintree Town · Away25 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +0.41 |
| M34 | Rochdale · Home28 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −0.62 |
| M35 | Forest Green · Away7 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −1.62 |
| M36 | Carlisle · Home10 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −2.96 |
| M37 | York · Home14 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.78 | −3.74 |
| M38 | Woking · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.13 | −4.87 |
| M39 | Boreham Wood · Home24 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −5.83 |
| M40 | Morecambe · Away28 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −4.22 |
| M41 | Sutton · Home3 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.59 | −4.81 |
| M42 | Wealdstone · Away6 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.36 | −6.17 |
| M43 | Gateshead · Home11 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.74 | −7.91 |
| M44 | Southend · Home14 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −8.83 |
| M45 | Brackley Town · Away18 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −10.29 |
| M46 | Truro · Home25 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.84 | −12.13 |
| Total | 46 | −12.13 | |||