Points
57Points expected by the market
57.40Gap
−0.40Yield
−5.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 28 | +6.04 | +30.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 20 | −5.18 | −18.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 9 | −1.26 | −20.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 28 | +6.04 | +30.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 6 | −1.73 | −20.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 6 | +2.77 | +159.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 14 | −3.45 | −18.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 3 | −4.03 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Aldershot · Home9 Aug 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.30 | +1.30 |
| M2 | Rochdale · Away16 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.95 | +0.35 |
| M3 | Hartlepool · Home19 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −1.07 |
| M4 | Morecambe · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.47 | −2.55 |
| M5 | Solihull · Home25 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.26 | −1.28 |
| M6 | Eastleigh · Away30 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −2.56 |
| M7 | Gateshead · Away3 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −0.95 |
| M8 | Sutton · Home6 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.21 | +0.26 |
| M9 | Boreham Wood · Away13 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.08 | −0.82 |
| M10 | Carlisle · Home20 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −1.96 |
| M11 | Forest Green · Home23 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −3.03 |
| M12 | Yeovil · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | −4.35 |
| M13 | Tamworth · Home1 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −5.97 |
| M14 | Wealdstone · Away4 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | −6.22 |
| M15 | Woking · Home18 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.68 | −7.90 |
| M16 | Braintree Town · Away25 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | −8.27 |
| M17 | Boston United · Home5 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −6.95 |
| M18 | Truro · Away8 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −5.21 |
| M19 | Brackley Town · Home15 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | −3.83 |
| M20 | Southend · Away22 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.72 | −4.55 |
| M21 | Scunthorpe · Home29 Nov 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.64 | −2.92 |
| M22 | Aldershot · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −4.26 |
| M23 | Rochdale · Home19 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.99 | −5.25 |
| M24 | Halifax · Away26 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −6.38 |
| M25 | York · Home30 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.72 | −7.09 |
| M26 | Hartlepool · Away17 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −8.11 |
| M27 | Forest Green · Away21 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.50 | −7.61 |
| M28 | Boreham Wood · Home24 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.32 | −5.29 |
| M29 | Carlisle · Away31 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.70 | −5.99 |
| M30 | Morecambe · Home3 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | −6.64 |
| M31 | Yeovil · Home7 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.63 | −8.28 |
| M32 | Wealdstone · Home10 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | −6.85 |
| M33 | Braintree Town · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.16 | −5.68 |
| M34 | Tamworth · Away24 Feb 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.20 | −6.88 |
| M35 | Brackley Town · Away28 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −5.08 |
| M36 | Truro · Home7 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.31 | −3.77 |
| M37 | Scunthorpe · Away14 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −4.62 |
| M38 | Southend · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.16 | −2.47 |
| M39 | Boston United · Away24 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.01 | −2.48 |
| M40 | Solihull · Away28 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | −3.58 |
| M41 | Woking · Away31 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | −3.53 |
| M42 | Halifax · Home3 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | −4.80 |
| M43 | York · Away6 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.34 | −5.14 |
| M44 | Eastleigh · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | −3.61 |
| M45 | Sutton · Away18 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.93 | −1.68 |
| M46 | Gateshead · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.28 | −0.40 |
| Total | 57 | −0.40 | |||