Points
90Points expected by the market
80.65Gap
+9.35Yield
+1.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 14 | 33 | +3.11 | +11.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 20 | 42 | +5.37 | +12.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 12 | +1.65 | +5.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.77 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 10 | 24 | +2.56 | +13.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 24 | +7.00 | +48.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 5 | −0.31 | −25.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 9 | +0.56 | +7.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 18 | −1.63 | −16.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 7 | +1.96 | +37.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.77 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Rochdale · Home9 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −1.28 |
| M2 | Carlisle · Away16 Aug 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.16 | −1.12 |
| M3 | Braintree Town · Home20 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +0.06 |
| M4 | Truro · Home25 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +1.20 |
| M5 | Hartlepool · Away30 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.02 | +1.22 |
| M6 | Sutton · Away3 Sep 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.56 | +2.78 |
| M7 | Morecambe · Home6 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +3.62 |
| M8 | Altrincham · Home13 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +4.96 |
| M9 | Boston United · Away20 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +6.18 |
| M10 | Scunthorpe · Away24 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | +5.91 |
| M11 | Woking · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +6.97 |
| M12 | Southend · Home30 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | +6.59 |
| M13 | Yeovil · Away4 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +8.05 |
| M14 | Eastleigh · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +9.03 |
| M15 | York · Away21 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.03 | +9.06 |
| M16 | Forest Green · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | +7.86 |
| M17 | Aldershot · Home4 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.86 | +8.71 |
| M18 | Brackley Town · Away8 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.26 | +9.97 |
| M19 | Tamworth · Home15 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.14 | +7.83 |
| M20 | Gateshead · Away22 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.93 | +8.76 |
| M21 | Halifax · Home29 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.86 | +9.62 |
| M22 | Carlisle · Home21 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +10.89 |
| M23 | Wealdstone · Away26 Dec 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +12.00 |
| M24 | Solihull · Home30 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.83 | +12.84 |
| M25 | Braintree Town · Away17 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +13.68 |
| M26 | Scunthorpe · Home20 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.92 | +11.76 |
| M27 | Altrincham · Away24 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.10 | +9.65 |
| M28 | Boston United · Home31 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.21 | +7.44 |
| M29 | Rochdale · Away3 Feb 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.99 | +6.45 |
| M30 | Yeovil · Home11 Feb 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.92 | +7.38 |
| M31 | Eastleigh · Away14 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.84 | +6.53 |
| M32 | Forest Green · Home21 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | +6.06 |
| M33 | Southend · Away24 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.87 | +7.93 |
| M34 | Tamworth · Away28 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.84 | +6.09 |
| M35 | York · Home3 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.83 | +7.92 |
| M36 | Brackley Town · Home7 Mar 2026 | W 5-3 | 3 | +0.82 | +8.74 |
| M37 | Woking · Away10 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.73 | +8.01 |
| M38 | Halifax · Away14 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.64 | +6.37 |
| M39 | Gateshead · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.93 | +7.30 |
| M40 | Aldershot · Away24 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +8.48 |
| M41 | Truro · Away28 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.98 | +7.51 |
| M42 | Wealdstone · Home3 Apr 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.97 | +8.48 |
| M43 | Solihull · Away6 Apr 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.83 | +6.65 |
| M44 | Hartlepool · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +7.63 |
| M45 | Morecambe · Away18 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.88 | +8.52 |
| M46 | Sutton · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +9.35 |
| Total | 90 | +9.35 | |||