Points
59Points expected by the market
55.15Gap
+3.85Yield
+1.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 18 | −2.06 | −20.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 24 | −0.03 | −16.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 17 | +5.94 | +41.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 18 | −2.06 | −20.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 7 | −0.16 | −9.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 2 | −2.78 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 17 | +0.13 | −19.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 15 | +8.72 | +135.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Aldershot · Away16 Aug 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.81 | +1.81 |
| M2 | Halifax · Home19 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | +0.28 |
| M3 | Eastleigh · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −0.95 |
| M4 | Wealdstone · Home25 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +0.59 |
| M5 | Truro · Away30 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.13 | −0.54 |
| M6 | Hartlepool · Away3 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.36 | −0.17 |
| M7 | Solihull · Home6 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −1.69 |
| M8 | Southend · Away13 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.44 | −1.25 |
| M9 | Boreham Wood · Home20 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −2.21 |
| M10 | Braintree Town · Home24 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −0.71 |
| M11 | Sutton · Away27 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.79 |
| M12 | Forest Green · Home1 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.27 | −0.52 |
| M13 | Gateshead · Away4 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.74 | +1.22 |
| M14 | Scunthorpe · Home18 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | +1.05 |
| M15 | Morecambe · Home21 Oct 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.76 | −0.72 |
| M16 | Tamworth · Away25 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.09 | +1.38 |
| M17 | Altrincham · Away5 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | +0.33 |
| M18 | Rochdale · Home8 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.80 | −0.47 |
| M19 | Woking · Away15 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.54 |
| M20 | Carlisle · Home22 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.88 | −1.42 |
| M21 | Yeovil · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −2.77 |
| M22 | Morecambe · Away6 Dec 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.73 | −1.04 |
| M23 | Aldershot · Home20 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.56 | −2.59 |
| M24 | York · Away26 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.57 | −2.02 |
| M25 | Brackley Town · Home30 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.62 | −3.65 |
| M26 | Eastleigh · Home3 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.52 | −5.17 |
| M27 | Braintree Town · Away10 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | −5.54 |
| M28 | Halifax · Away17 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −6.60 |
| M29 | Southend · Home24 Jan 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.28 | −6.32 |
| M30 | Boreham Wood · Away31 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.41 | −3.92 |
| M31 | Sutton · Home7 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −2.45 |
| M32 | Gateshead · Home10 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.11 | −1.34 |
| M33 | Scunthorpe · Away14 Feb 2026 | W 6-3 | 3 | +2.20 | +0.86 |
| M34 | Tamworth · Home21 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.71 | +0.15 |
| M35 | Forest Green · Away24 Feb 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.26 | +2.41 |
| M36 | Woking · Home3 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.64 | +1.77 |
| M37 | Rochdale · Away7 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.68 | +1.09 |
| M38 | Yeovil · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.26 | +2.35 |
| M39 | Carlisle · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 2-6 | 0 | −0.93 | +1.42 |
| M40 | Altrincham · Home24 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.73 | +0.69 |
| M41 | York · Home3 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.69 | 0.00 |
| M42 | Brackley Town · Away6 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.43 |
| M43 | Truro · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +0.82 |
| M44 | Wealdstone · Away14 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | +0.65 |
| M45 | Solihull · Away18 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +2.44 |
| M46 | Hartlepool · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +3.85 |
| Total | 59 | +3.85 | |||