Points
42Points expected by the market
56.03Gap
−14.03Yield
−44.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 18 | −2.10 | −21.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 20 | −6.39 | −47.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 4 | −5.54 | −59.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 18 | −0.54 | −13.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 7 | −3.58 | −66.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.36 | +32.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.56 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 13 | −2.81 | −36.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 1 | −5.19 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Eastleigh · Home9 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +1.37 |
| M2 | Yeovil · Away20 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −0.05 |
| M3 | Rochdale · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +1.29 |
| M4 | Tamworth · Away25 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | +1.10 |
| M5 | Scunthorpe · Home30 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | +0.54 |
| M6 | Carlisle · Home3 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −0.61 |
| M7 | Aldershot · Away6 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.93 |
| M8 | Hartlepool · Away13 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | −1.01 |
| M9 | Sutton · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +0.23 |
| M10 | Truro · Home23 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +1.32 |
| M11 | Solihull · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.56 | −0.24 |
| M12 | Wealdstone · Home1 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.78 | −2.03 |
| M13 | Halifax · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −3.07 |
| M14 | Gateshead · Home18 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.68 | −3.75 |
| M15 | Southend · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.64 | −4.39 |
| M16 | Braintree Town · Away5 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | −2.71 |
| M17 | Boreham Wood · Home8 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.99 | −3.70 |
| M18 | Altrincham · Away15 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −4.81 |
| M19 | Morecambe · Away18 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −5.92 |
| M20 | York · Home22 Nov 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.63 | −6.56 |
| M21 | Woking · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −7.65 |
| M22 | Morecambe · Home21 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −9.22 |
| M23 | Forest Green · Home26 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.25 | −6.97 |
| M24 | Boston United · Away30 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.90 | −5.08 |
| M25 | Yeovil · Home17 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | −3.71 |
| M26 | Truro · Away20 Jan 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.25 | −3.96 |
| M27 | Hartlepool · Home24 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.36 | −4.32 |
| M28 | Sutton · Away31 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | −4.30 |
| M29 | Halifax · Home11 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −4.77 |
| M30 | Gateshead · Away14 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.59 | −3.18 |
| M31 | Southend · Home21 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.98 | −4.15 |
| M32 | Wealdstone · Away24 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −5.29 |
| M33 | Altrincham · Home28 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −6.82 |
| M34 | Rochdale · Away3 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.51 | −7.33 |
| M35 | Boreham Wood · Away7 Mar 2026 | L 3-5 | 0 | −0.62 | −7.95 |
| M36 | Eastleigh · Away10 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −9.22 |
| M37 | Woking · Home14 Mar 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.42 | −10.64 |
| M38 | Solihull · Home17 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | −10.98 |
| M39 | York · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.35 | −11.33 |
| M40 | Braintree Town · Home24 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | −12.16 |
| M41 | Tamworth · Home28 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | −13.42 |
| M42 | Forest Green · Away3 Apr 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.61 | −14.04 |
| M43 | Boston United · Home6 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | −14.34 |
| M44 | Scunthorpe · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.69 | −15.03 |
| M45 | Aldershot · Home18 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.72 | −13.31 |
| M46 | Carlisle · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.72 | −14.03 |
| Total | 42 | −14.03 | |||