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← National League 2025-26

Carlisle

Season 2025-26 · 46 matches played

Last 5DDWWW

Points

95

Points expected by the market

79.31

Gap

+15.69

Yield

+18.8%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 12 31 25.50 +5.50 +19.2%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 21 41 37.64 +3.36 +2.8%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 10 20 13.29 +6.71 +50.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches 3 3 2.88 +0.12 +22.7%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Woking · Away9 Aug 2025 9 Aug 2025 W 2-0 2.09 1.58 3 +1.42 +1.42 +€1.09
M2 Boreham Wood · Home16 Aug 2025 16 Aug 2025 D 3-3 1.62 1.92 1 −0.92 +0.50 −€1.00
M3 Solihull · Home19 Aug 2025 19 Aug 2025 D 1-1 1.50 2.05 1 −1.05 −0.55 −€1.00
M4 Wealdstone · Away23 Aug 2025 23 Aug 2025 W 1-0 2.06 1.58 3 +1.42 +0.87 +€1.06
M5 Braintree Town · Home25 Aug 2025 25 Aug 2025 W 5-0 1.46 2.09 3 +0.91 +1.78 +€0.46
M6 Sutton · Away30 Aug 2025 30 Aug 2025 L 1-2 1.65 1.89 0 −1.89 −0.11 −€1.00
M7 Brackley Town · Away3 Sep 2025 3 Sep 2025 W 1-0 2.10 1.57 3 +1.43 +1.32 +€1.10
M8 Truro · Home6 Sep 2025 6 Sep 2025 W 3-0 1.37 2.19 3 +0.81 +2.12 +€0.37
M9 Aldershot · Home13 Sep 2025 13 Sep 2025 W 2-0 1.47 2.07 3 +0.93 +3.05 +€0.47
M10 Altrincham · Away20 Sep 2025 20 Sep 2025 W 2-1 2.05 1.59 3 +1.41 +4.46 +€1.05
M11 York · Away23 Sep 2025 23 Sep 2025 L 0-5 3.47 1.05 0 −1.05 +3.41 −€1.00
M12 Rochdale · Home27 Sep 2025 27 Sep 2025 L 0-2 2.06 1.59 0 −1.59 +1.82 −€1.00
M13 Hartlepool · Home1 Oct 2025 1 Oct 2025 W 3-1 1.69 1.86 3 +1.14 +2.97 +€0.69
M14 Scunthorpe · Away4 Oct 2025 4 Oct 2025 W 1-0 2.63 1.31 3 +1.69 +4.66 +€1.63
M15 Forest Green · Home18 Oct 2025 18 Oct 2025 W 4-2 2.36 1.44 3 +1.56 +6.22 +€1.36
M16 Yeovil · Away25 Oct 2025 25 Oct 2025 D 1-1 1.85 1.74 1 −0.74 +5.48 −€1.00
M17 Halifax · Home4 Nov 2025 4 Nov 2025 W 2-0 1.58 1.96 3 +1.04 +6.52 +€0.58
M18 Southend · Away8 Nov 2025 8 Nov 2025 W 2-1 2.98 1.18 3 +1.82 +8.34 +€1.98
M19 Eastleigh · Home15 Nov 2025 15 Nov 2025 D 1-1 1.35 2.23 1 −1.23 +7.11 −€1.00
M20 Boston United · Away22 Nov 2025 22 Nov 2025 W 2-1 1.68 1.87 3 +1.13 +8.24 +€0.68
M21 Tamworth · Home29 Nov 2025 29 Nov 2025 W 2-1 1.44 2.11 3 +0.89 +9.14 +€0.44
M22 Woking · Home10 Dec 2025 10 Dec 2025 L 1-3 1.47 2.08 0 −2.08 +7.06 −€1.00
M23 Boreham Wood · Away21 Dec 2025 21 Dec 2025 L 0-2 3.52 1.02 0 −1.02 +6.04 −€1.00
M24 Gateshead · Away26 Dec 2025 26 Dec 2025 W 3-0 1.46 2.08 3 +0.92 +6.96 +€0.46
M25 Morecambe · Home30 Dec 2025 30 Dec 2025 W 1-0 1.36 2.19 3 +0.81 +7.77 +€0.36
M26 Wealdstone · Home3 Jan 2026 3 Jan 2026 W 2-0 1.34 2.23 3 +0.77 +8.53 +€0.34
M27 Solihull · Away17 Jan 2026 17 Jan 2026 D 3-3 2.43 1.39 1 −0.39 +8.14 −€1.00
M28 York · Home21 Jan 2026 21 Jan 2026 L 0-3 2.84 1.23 0 −1.23 +6.91 −€1.00
M29 Altrincham · Home31 Jan 2026 31 Jan 2026 W 3-1 1.47 2.08 3 +0.92 +7.83 +€0.47
M30 Rochdale · Away7 Feb 2026 7 Feb 2026 L 0-1 4.48 0.87 0 −0.87 +6.96 −€1.00
M31 Scunthorpe · Home10 Feb 2026 10 Feb 2026 W 3-2 2.30 1.46 3 +1.54 +8.51 +€1.30
M32 Forest Green · Away14 Feb 2026 14 Feb 2026 W 3-1 3.68 0.99 3 +2.01 +10.51 +€2.68
M33 Yeovil · Home21 Feb 2026 21 Feb 2026 W 3-0 1.54 2.01 3 +0.99 +11.50 +€0.54
M34 Hartlepool · Away25 Feb 2026 25 Feb 2026 L 1-3 2.18 1.53 0 −1.53 +9.97 −€1.00
M35 Eastleigh · Away28 Feb 2026 28 Feb 2026 W 2-1 1.77 1.80 3 +1.20 +11.18 +€0.77
M36 Southend · Home7 Mar 2026 7 Mar 2026 D 2-2 2.33 1.44 1 −0.44 +10.73 −€1.00
M37 Aldershot · Away10 Mar 2026 10 Mar 2026 W 2-0 2.41 1.39 3 +1.61 +12.34 +€1.41
M38 Tamworth · Away14 Mar 2026 14 Mar 2026 L 1-2 2.06 1.59 0 −1.59 +10.75 −€1.00
M39 Boston United · Home21 Mar 2026 21 Mar 2026 W 6-2 1.75 1.81 3 +1.19 +11.94 +€0.75
M40 Halifax · Away24 Mar 2026 24 Mar 2026 W 1-0 2.39 1.41 3 +1.59 +13.53 +€1.39
M41 Braintree Town · Away28 Mar 2026 28 Mar 2026 W 2-1 1.44 2.09 3 +0.91 +14.43 +€0.44
M42 Gateshead · Home3 Apr 2026 3 Apr 2026 D 0-0 1.50 2.04 1 −1.04 +13.39 −€1.00
M43 Morecambe · Away6 Apr 2026 6 Apr 2026 D 2-2 1.73 1.82 1 −0.82 +12.57 −€1.00
M44 Sutton · Home11 Apr 2026 11 Apr 2026 W 3-0 1.56 1.97 3 +1.03 +13.60 +€0.56
M45 Truro · Away18 Apr 2026 18 Apr 2026 W 1-0 1.71 1.85 3 +1.15 +14.75 +€0.71
M46 Brackley Town · Home25 Apr 2026 25 Apr 2026 W 3-0 1.49 2.06 3 +0.94 +15.69 +€0.49
Total 79.31 95 +15.69 +€8.63