Points
50Points expected by the market
48.73Gap
+1.27Yield
+3.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.60 | +88.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 25 | 32 | +0.47 | +7.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 12 | −1.80 | −11.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.60 | +88.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 13 | −8.51 | −50.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −0.39 | +53.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 19 | +8.98 | +111.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 9 | −1.41 | −35.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Southend · Home9 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.12 | −1.12 |
| M2 | Eastleigh · Away16 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.97 | +0.85 |
| M3 | Rochdale · Away20 Aug 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.83 | +0.02 |
| M4 | Tamworth · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.65 | +1.67 |
| M5 | Yeovil · Away25 Aug 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.94 | +3.61 |
| M6 | Aldershot · Home30 Aug 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.43 | +3.18 |
| M7 | Altrincham · Home3 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.36 | +1.82 |
| M8 | Woking · Away6 Sep 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.17 | +0.65 |
| M9 | Wealdstone · Away13 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.74 |
| M10 | Halifax · Home20 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −0.58 |
| M11 | Hartlepool · Home23 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | −1.72 |
| M12 | Braintree Town · Away27 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.83 | +0.11 |
| M13 | Morecambe · Away30 Sep 2025 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.65 | +1.77 |
| M14 | Boston United · Home4 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.48 | +0.29 |
| M15 | Brackley Town · Away18 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.22 |
| M16 | Truro · Home25 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.49 | −0.27 |
| M17 | York · Away5 Nov 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.48 | −0.75 |
| M18 | Solihull · Home8 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −2.03 |
| M19 | Forest Green · Away15 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.55 | −2.58 |
| M20 | Boreham Wood · Home22 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.73 | −3.31 |
| M21 | Sutton · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.84 | −4.15 |
| M22 | Eastleigh · Home21 Dec 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.35 | −5.50 |
| M23 | Carlisle · Home26 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.72 | −6.21 |
| M24 | Scunthorpe · Away30 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.56 | −6.77 |
| M25 | Tamworth · Away3 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.91 | −7.67 |
| M26 | Rochdale · Home17 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.63 | −8.30 |
| M27 | Hartlepool · Away20 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.73 | −9.03 |
| M28 | Boston United · Away10 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.88 | −9.91 |
| M29 | Brackley Town · Home14 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −11.23 |
| M30 | Halifax · Away17 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.24 | −8.99 |
| M31 | Truro · Away21 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | −7.11 |
| M32 | Morecambe · Home25 Feb 2026 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.46 | −7.58 |
| M33 | Forest Green · Home28 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −8.38 |
| M34 | Braintree Town · Home4 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.25 | −7.12 |
| M35 | Solihull · Away7 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.09 | −5.03 |
| M36 | Southend · Away10 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.41 | −4.62 |
| M37 | Sutton · Home14 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | −5.05 |
| M38 | Wealdstone · Home17 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | −3.43 |
| M39 | Boreham Wood · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.73 | −4.16 |
| M40 | York · Home24 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.47 | −1.69 |
| M41 | Yeovil · Home28 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | −0.33 |
| M42 | Carlisle · Away3 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.25 | −0.08 |
| M43 | Scunthorpe · Home6 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +1.76 |
| M44 | Aldershot · Away11 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.98 | +3.74 |
| M45 | Woking · Home18 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.43 | +2.30 |
| M46 | Altrincham · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.04 | +1.27 |
| Total | 50 | +1.27 | |||