Points
70Points expected by the market
61.02Gap
+8.98Yield
+7.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 27 | +1.42 | −11.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 37 | +8.48 | +42.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 6 | −0.93 | −46.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 26 | +3.61 | +2.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 9 | −1.30 | +0.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 2 | +0.21 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.18 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 28 | +9.78 | +66.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 4 | −1.14 | −31.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Braintree Town · Away9 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.17 | −1.17 |
| M2 | Wealdstone · Away16 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −2.43 |
| M3 | Boston United · Away19 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −0.63 |
| M4 | Forest Green · Home23 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −1.70 |
| M5 | Scunthorpe · Away25 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −1.74 |
| M6 | Yeovil · Home30 Aug 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.53 | −0.21 |
| M7 | Woking · Home3 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | −0.96 |
| M8 | Southend · Away6 Sep 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.73 | −1.69 |
| M9 | Eastleigh · Home13 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.63 | −2.32 |
| M10 | Gateshead · Away20 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | −0.74 |
| M11 | Morecambe · Away24 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +0.77 |
| M12 | Aldershot · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.33 | +2.10 |
| M13 | Rochdale · Away1 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.19 | +4.29 |
| M14 | Brackley Town · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +5.63 |
| M15 | Truro · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.55 | +4.08 |
| M16 | York · Home25 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.08 | +4.16 |
| M17 | Carlisle · Away4 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.81 | +3.35 |
| M18 | Hartlepool · Home8 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | +1.89 |
| M19 | Sutton · Away15 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.38 | +0.51 |
| M20 | Solihull · Home22 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +2.16 |
| M21 | Boreham Wood · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.66 | +1.50 |
| M22 | Braintree Town · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +2.77 |
| M23 | Wealdstone · Home21 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.63 | +2.14 |
| M24 | Altrincham · Home26 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +3.54 |
| M25 | Tamworth · Away30 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +5.13 |
| M26 | Forest Green · Away3 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.60 | +4.53 |
| M27 | Boston United · Home17 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +5.86 |
| M28 | Morecambe · Home21 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +7.10 |
| M29 | Eastleigh · Away24 Jan 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.60 | +8.70 |
| M30 | Aldershot · Away7 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.12 | +7.58 |
| M31 | Brackley Town · Away11 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | +7.34 |
| M32 | Truro · Home14 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +8.53 |
| M33 | Gateshead · Home17 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.01 | +6.52 |
| M34 | York · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.50 | +6.02 |
| M35 | Rochdale · Home24 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.13 | +6.15 |
| M36 | Sutton · Home28 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.64 | +5.50 |
| M37 | Hartlepool · Away7 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.92 | +7.42 |
| M38 | Boreham Wood · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.90 | +9.32 |
| M39 | Solihull · Away21 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +10.98 |
| M40 | Carlisle · Home24 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | +9.66 |
| M41 | Scunthorpe · Home28 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | +8.22 |
| M42 | Altrincham · Away3 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +9.76 |
| M43 | Tamworth · Home6 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.82 | +8.93 |
| M44 | Yeovil · Away11 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.63 | +8.30 |
| M45 | Southend · Home18 Apr 2026 | L 2-6 | 0 | −1.07 | +7.23 |
| M46 | Woking · Away25 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +8.98 |
| Total | 70 | +8.98 | |||