Points
68Points expected by the market
64.73Gap
+3.27Yield
−2.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.21 | −25.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 30 | −2.49 | −22.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 25 | +5.36 | +27.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 9 | +0.61 | −3.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.21 | −25.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 23 | −4.74 | −34.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +3.64 | +199.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.10 | +22.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +2.25 | +40.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 19 | +1.72 | +1.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 5 | −0.49 | −14.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Yeovil · Away9 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.31 |
| M2 | Braintree Town · Home16 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +1.07 |
| M3 | Altrincham · Away19 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +2.75 |
| M4 | Woking · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +3.90 |
| M5 | Southend · Away25 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | +3.96 |
| M6 | Boreham Wood · Home30 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.76 | +3.20 |
| M7 | Boston United · Home3 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.16 | +2.04 |
| M8 | Forest Green · Away6 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | +1.18 |
| M9 | Brackley Town · Home13 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.65 | +0.54 |
| M10 | Aldershot · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | −0.95 |
| M11 | Gateshead · Away23 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +0.46 |
| M12 | Tamworth · Home27 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | −0.17 |
| M13 | Carlisle · Away1 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.90 | −1.07 |
| M14 | York · Home4 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −2.06 |
| M15 | Sutton · Away18 Oct 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.40 | −2.46 |
| M16 | Solihull · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.19 | −1.27 |
| M17 | Morecambe · Home4 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.82 | −2.09 |
| M18 | Halifax · Away8 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −0.35 |
| M19 | Wealdstone · Home15 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | −0.96 |
| M20 | Eastleigh · Away22 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +0.67 |
| M21 | Truro · Home29 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.01 | +1.68 |
| M22 | Yeovil · Home6 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.92 | −0.25 |
| M23 | Braintree Town · Away21 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.62 | −0.86 |
| M24 | Scunthorpe · Home26 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −2.38 |
| M25 | Rochdale · Away30 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.32 | −0.06 |
| M26 | Woking · Away10 Jan 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.29 | −1.34 |
| M27 | Altrincham · Home17 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | −0.06 |
| M28 | Gateshead · Home20 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.95 | +0.88 |
| M29 | Brackley Town · Away24 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | +0.53 |
| M30 | Aldershot · Home31 Jan 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.66 | −1.12 |
| M31 | Tamworth · Away7 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | −1.50 |
| M32 | York · Away11 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.45 | −1.95 |
| M33 | Solihull · Away21 Feb 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.84 | −0.11 |
| M34 | Carlisle · Home25 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.80 | +1.69 |
| M35 | Sutton · Home3 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.65 | +0.04 |
| M36 | Halifax · Home7 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.64 | −1.60 |
| M37 | Truro · Away14 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −0.14 |
| M38 | Eastleigh · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +0.96 |
| M39 | Morecambe · Away25 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.54 | +2.50 |
| M40 | Wealdstone · Away31 Mar 2026 | L 0-7 | 0 | −1.36 | +1.14 |
| M41 | Scunthorpe · Away3 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.11 | +1.25 |
| M42 | Rochdale · Home6 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.10 | +1.35 |
| M43 | Boreham Wood · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.77 | +0.58 |
| M44 | Forest Green · Home18 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.84 | +2.42 |
| M45 | Southend · Home21 Apr 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +2.00 | +4.41 |
| M46 | Boston United · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.14 | +3.27 |
| Total | 68 | +3.27 | |||