Points
106Points expected by the market
86.14Gap
+19.86Yield
+22.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 18 | 48 | +8.17 | +21.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 20 | 45 | +8.71 | +15.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 13 | +2.98 | +39.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 14 | 36 | +4.96 | +16.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 16 | +3.10 | +26.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.33 | +45.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 12 | +3.21 | +37.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 29 | +5.61 | +9.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +1.65 | +38.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Boreham Wood · Away9 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +1.56 |
| M2 | Altrincham · Home16 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.21 | +2.77 |
| M3 | Gateshead · Home20 Aug 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +3.83 |
| M4 | Brackley Town · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.07 | +2.76 |
| M5 | Sutton · Home25 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +3.66 |
| M6 | Wealdstone · Away30 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +4.99 |
| M7 | Braintree Town · Home6 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.78 | +5.77 |
| M8 | Truro · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +6.96 |
| M9 | Solihull · Home23 Sep 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.94 | +7.90 |
| M10 | Carlisle · Away27 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.86 | +9.75 |
| M11 | Halifax · Home1 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.95 | +7.80 |
| M12 | Forest Green · Away4 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +9.55 |
| M13 | Yeovil · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.80 | +10.35 |
| M14 | Woking · Away25 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.76 | +9.58 |
| M15 | Boston United · Away8 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.03 | +10.61 |
| M16 | York · Away11 Nov 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.11 | +9.50 |
| M17 | Aldershot · Home15 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.63 | +10.14 |
| M18 | Tamworth · Away22 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.10 | +11.24 |
| M19 | Eastleigh · Home29 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.70 | +11.93 |
| M20 | Altrincham · Away19 Dec 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +13.18 |
| M21 | Morecambe · Away26 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.86 | +14.04 |
| M22 | Hartlepool · Home30 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.10 | +11.94 |
| M23 | Gateshead · Away17 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.82 | +12.76 |
| M24 | Solihull · Away21 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +14.16 |
| M25 | Truro · Home24 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.82 | +14.98 |
| M26 | Southend · Home27 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +16.59 |
| M27 | Boreham Wood · Home3 Feb 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +17.84 |
| M28 | Carlisle · Home7 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +18.97 |
| M29 | Forest Green · Home11 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +20.26 |
| M30 | Yeovil · Away14 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.99 | +19.27 |
| M31 | Scunthorpe · Home17 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.88 | +18.39 |
| M32 | Woking · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.82 | +19.21 |
| M33 | Halifax · Away24 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.87 | +18.34 |
| M34 | Aldershot · Away28 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +19.64 |
| M35 | Brackley Town · Home3 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.71 | +20.35 |
| M36 | Boston United · Home7 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +21.25 |
| M37 | Eastleigh · Away14 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.93 | +22.18 |
| M38 | Southend · Away17 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.34 | +20.84 |
| M39 | Tamworth · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.74 | +21.58 |
| M40 | Scunthorpe · Away25 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.59 | +20.99 |
| M41 | Sutton · Away28 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.07 | +22.06 |
| M42 | Morecambe · Home3 Apr 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −2.40 | +19.66 |
| M43 | Hartlepool · Away6 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.84 | +18.83 |
| M44 | Wealdstone · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.70 | +19.53 |
| M45 | Braintree Town · Away18 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.61 | +20.14 |
| M46 | York · Home25 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | +19.86 |
| Total | 106 | +19.86 | |||