Points
82Points expected by the market
70.91Gap
+11.09Yield
+16.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +2.37 | +35.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 22 | 40 | +0.62 | −11.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 22 | +2.22 | +7.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 11 | +5.89 | +130.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +2.37 | +35.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 28 | +0.40 | −7.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 5 | −0.29 | −31.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.95 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 12 | +0.22 | −22.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 17 | +2.51 | +21.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 11 | +6.83 | +176.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Tamworth · Away9 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +1.75 |
| M2 | Woking · Home16 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +3.03 |
| M3 | Sutton · Away23 Aug 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.69 | +4.71 |
| M4 | Halifax · Home25 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | +4.02 |
| M5 | Brackley Town · Away30 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | +3.86 |
| M6 | Wealdstone · Home6 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.20 | +5.06 |
| M7 | Forest Green · Away13 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.19 | +5.25 |
| M8 | Truro · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +6.39 |
| M9 | Boreham Wood · Home24 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | +5.94 |
| M10 | Southend · Away27 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.12 | +8.06 |
| M11 | York · Away1 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.22 | +10.28 |
| M12 | Carlisle · Home4 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.43 | +8.85 |
| M13 | Morecambe · Home7 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.72 | +9.57 |
| M14 | Boston United · Away18 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | +9.02 |
| M15 | Eastleigh · Away21 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | +8.47 |
| M16 | Aldershot · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.03 | +9.50 |
| M17 | Yeovil · Home8 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +10.47 |
| M18 | Solihull · Away15 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.42 | +9.05 |
| M19 | Braintree Town · Home22 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.03 | +8.02 |
| M20 | Altrincham · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.36 | +6.66 |
| M21 | Tamworth · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +7.94 |
| M22 | Woking · Away20 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +9.54 |
| M23 | Hartlepool · Away26 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +11.32 |
| M24 | Gateshead · Home30 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.74 | +12.06 |
| M25 | Morecambe · Away17 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.78 | +11.29 |
| M26 | Boreham Wood · Away20 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.16 | +13.45 |
| M27 | Forest Green · Home24 Jan 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.74 | +15.19 |
| M28 | Southend · Home7 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +16.57 |
| M29 | Carlisle · Away10 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.28 | +15.29 |
| M30 | Boston United · Home14 Feb 2026 | L 3-6 | 0 | −1.96 | +13.33 |
| M31 | Rochdale · Away17 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.14 | +13.47 |
| M32 | Aldershot · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.42 | +12.05 |
| M33 | York · Home24 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.95 | +11.10 |
| M34 | Solihull · Home28 Feb 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.73 | +10.37 |
| M35 | Yeovil · Away7 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +11.79 |
| M36 | Sutton · Home10 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.77 | +10.01 |
| M37 | Altrincham · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +11.09 |
| M38 | Truro · Away17 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +12.39 |
| M39 | Braintree Town · Away21 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.98 | +13.37 |
| M40 | Rochdale · Home25 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.15 | +13.22 |
| M41 | Halifax · Away28 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +14.93 |
| M42 | Hartlepool · Home3 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.88 | +14.05 |
| M43 | Gateshead · Away6 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.60 | +12.45 |
| M44 | Brackley Town · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.91 | +13.36 |
| M45 | Wealdstone · Away18 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | +12.98 |
| M46 | Eastleigh · Home25 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.89 | +11.09 |
| Total | 82 | +11.09 | |||