Points
81Points expected by the market
84.67Gap
−3.67Yield
−19.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 14 | 34 | +3.26 | −1.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 24 | 40 | −4.01 | −13.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 6 | −3.02 | −63.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.10 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | 31 | +2.33 | −4.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 11 | −3.45 | −36.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.20 | +27.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.94 | +48.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 29 | −0.56 | −2.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 2 | −4.22 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.10 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Gateshead · Away9 Aug 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +1.38 |
| M2 | Tamworth · Home16 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +2.36 |
| M3 | York · Home20 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.43 | +1.92 |
| M4 | Truro · Away23 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +2.96 |
| M5 | Hartlepool · Home25 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.80 | +2.16 |
| M6 | Solihull · Away30 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +3.24 |
| M7 | Wealdstone · Away2 Sep 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.81 | +1.44 |
| M8 | Halifax · Home6 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +2.40 |
| M9 | Boston United · Home13 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.24 | +1.16 |
| M10 | Eastleigh · Away24 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.96 | −0.80 |
| M11 | Scunthorpe · Home27 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.87 | −2.67 |
| M12 | Boreham Wood · Away30 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | −3.01 |
| M13 | Aldershot · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.82 | −2.18 |
| M14 | Morecambe · Away18 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.94 | −1.25 |
| M15 | Brackley Town · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.87 | −0.38 |
| M16 | Woking · Away5 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | −1.16 |
| M17 | Carlisle · Home8 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | −2.71 |
| M18 | Yeovil · Away15 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.06 | −1.66 |
| M19 | Altrincham · Home22 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.94 | −0.71 |
| M20 | Forest Green · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −1.90 |
| M21 | Tamworth · Away20 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.79 | −3.69 |
| M22 | Braintree Town · Away26 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.97 | −2.73 |
| M23 | Sutton · Home30 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.83 | −1.89 |
| M24 | York · Away17 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | −1.80 |
| M25 | Eastleigh · Home20 Jan 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.70 | −1.09 |
| M26 | Boston United · Away24 Jan 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.05 | −2.15 |
| M27 | Rochdale · Away27 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −3.44 |
| M28 | Scunthorpe · Away7 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | −4.55 |
| M29 | Morecambe · Home14 Feb 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.79 | −3.76 |
| M30 | Brackley Town · Away21 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.24 | −2.52 |
| M31 | Boreham Wood · Home24 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.61 | −4.13 |
| M32 | Truro · Home3 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.29 | −5.42 |
| M33 | Carlisle · Away7 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.29 | −5.71 |
| M34 | Gateshead · Home10 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.23 | −6.94 |
| M35 | Forest Green · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −5.53 |
| M36 | Rochdale · Home17 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.63 | −3.90 |
| M37 | Altrincham · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.92 | −5.82 |
| M38 | Woking · Home25 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.97 | −6.78 |
| M39 | Yeovil · Home31 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.75 | −6.03 |
| M40 | Braintree Town · Home3 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.58 | −5.45 |
| M41 | Sutton · Away6 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.22 | −4.23 |
| M42 | Solihull · Home11 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.14 | −5.37 |
| M43 | Aldershot · Away14 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | −4.21 |
| M44 | Halifax · Away18 Apr 2026 | W 6-2 | 3 | +1.34 | −2.87 |
| M45 | Hartlepool · Away21 Apr 2026 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.74 | −4.61 |
| M46 | Wealdstone · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.93 | −3.67 |
| Total | 81 | −3.67 | |||