Points
47Points expected by the market
57.55Gap
−10.55Yield
−35.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 11 | −8.16 | −66.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 28 | +2.15 | −9.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 8 | −4.54 | −46.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 8 | −9.64 | −84.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 13 | +1.65 | +15.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | −0.23 | −13.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.48 | +116.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 15 | +0.50 | −25.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 4 | −4.30 | −63.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | York · Away9 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.31 | +0.31 |
| M2 | Solihull · Home16 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.71 | −0.40 |
| M3 | Forest Green · Away20 Aug 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.88 | −1.28 |
| M4 | Scunthorpe · Home23 Aug 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −2.69 |
| M5 | Rochdale · Away25 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.69 | −3.38 |
| M6 | Carlisle · Home30 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.13 | −1.25 |
| M7 | Boreham Wood · Home3 Sep 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.29 | −2.53 |
| M8 | Altrincham · Away6 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −3.50 |
| M9 | Tamworth · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.53 | −5.02 |
| M10 | Brackley Town · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | −6.00 |
| M11 | Woking · Away23 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −6.16 |
| M12 | Boston United · Home27 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | −6.81 |
| M13 | Yeovil · Home30 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −8.28 |
| M14 | Braintree Town · Away4 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −8.56 |
| M15 | Hartlepool · Home18 Oct 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.35 | −8.91 |
| M16 | Wealdstone · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.04 | −9.95 |
| M17 | Eastleigh · Home5 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | −8.44 |
| M18 | Morecambe · Away8 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.26 | −8.69 |
| M19 | Halifax · Home15 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.64 | −7.05 |
| M20 | Truro · Away22 Nov 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.80 | −5.25 |
| M21 | Gateshead · Home29 Nov 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.06 | −4.19 |
| M22 | Solihull · Away21 Dec 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.11 | −5.30 |
| M23 | Aldershot · Home26 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.62 | −5.93 |
| M24 | Southend · Away30 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.63 | −6.56 |
| M25 | York · Home10 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.71 | −7.27 |
| M26 | Forest Green · Home17 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | −7.12 |
| M27 | Tamworth · Away24 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.69 | −5.43 |
| M28 | Brackley Town · Home31 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | −6.17 |
| M29 | Boston United · Away7 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | −7.37 |
| M30 | Braintree Town · Home11 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.93 | −8.30 |
| M31 | Woking · Home17 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | −6.78 |
| M32 | Wealdstone · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −5.29 |
| M33 | Yeovil · Away25 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.33 | −6.62 |
| M34 | Halifax · Away28 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.09 | −6.71 |
| M35 | Hartlepool · Away3 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.91 | −4.80 |
| M36 | Morecambe · Home7 Mar 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.88 | −6.68 |
| M37 | Scunthorpe · Away10 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.02 | −4.66 |
| M38 | Gateshead · Away14 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | −4.97 |
| M39 | Truro · Home21 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.96 | −6.93 |
| M40 | Eastleigh · Away24 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.48 | −5.46 |
| M41 | Rochdale · Home28 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | −6.29 |
| M42 | Aldershot · Away3 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.16 | −6.45 |
| M43 | Southend · Home6 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.97 | −7.42 |
| M44 | Carlisle · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.80 | −8.22 |
| M45 | Altrincham · Home18 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.68 | −9.90 |
| M46 | Boreham Wood · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.65 | −10.55 |
| Total | 47 | −10.55 | |||